Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1019 (#313) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1036 (#303) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 805 (#753) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -25.6 (#730) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.998 (#93) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.983 (#65) | AdjNet +35.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.984 (#68) | AdjNet +34.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.946 (#31) | AdjO 97.9 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.184 (#748) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 86.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.111 (#742) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.114 (#745) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 713 (#610) | RD 103 | GP 23 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-08 | vs | Elmira | W | 83 - 65 |
| 2022-11-11 | vs | John Jay | W | 79 - 65 |
| 2022-11-12 | vs | Clarks Summit | W | 89 - 75 |
| 2022-11-14 | vs | Juniata | L | 67 - 93 |
| 2022-11-16 | @ | Lycoming | L | 69 - 93 |
| 2022-11-22 | vs | Wilson | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2022-11-25 | vs | Hartford | W | 75 - 55 |
| 2022-11-30 | @ | Mount Aloysius | L | 72 - 101 |
| 2022-12-03 | @ | Lancaster Bible | L | 66 - 88 |
| 2022-12-12 | @ | King's (PA) | L | 99 - 104 |
| 2022-12-28 | vs | Wilkes | W | 93 - 61 |
| 2023-01-02 | @ | Centenary (NJ) | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2023-01-06 | vs | Penn St. Harrisburg | L | 73 - 88 |
| 2023-01-11 | vs | Penn St.-Berks | W | 83 - 79 |
| 2023-01-14 | vs | SUNY Morrisville | L | 78 - 79 |
| 2023-01-17 | @ | Wells | L | 64 - 79 |
| 2023-01-20 | vs | Gallaudet | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2023-01-21 | vs | St. Mary's (MD) | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2023-01-23 | @ | Hartford | W | 76 - 52 |
| 2023-01-24 | @ | Penn St.-Abington | L | 71 - 73 |
| 2023-01-28 | @ | SUNY Morrisville | L | 78 - 84 |
| 2023-01-31 | vs | Wells | L | 80 - 83 |
| 2023-02-03 | @ | Gallaudet | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2023-02-04 | @ | St. Mary's (MD) | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2023-02-08 | vs | Lancaster Bible | L | 77 - 89 |
| 2023-02-11 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2023-02-14 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2023-02-17 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | W | 91 - 90 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.