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Penn State

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Also known as: Penn State Nittany Lions, Penn State
Program History
Coach: Ed DeChellis

2006 Team Stats (11 games)

58.5
PPG
70.9
Opp
-12.4
Margin
39.5%
FG%
28.9%
3P%
64.7%
FT%
33.4
RPG
13.2
APG
11.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.0
Adj PPG
66.0
Adj Opp PPG
#125
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1043 (#134) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1057 (#122) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More → 967 (#212) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → +3.5 (#124) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +3.5 (#119) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.476 (#173) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.4 More → 0.700 (#109) AdjNet +7.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.4 More → 0.702 (#110) AdjNet +7.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 66.0 More → 0.567 (#125) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 66.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 65.6 More → 0.505 (#161) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 65.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.587 (#120) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.574 (#124) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 30 More → 1100 (#95) RD 119 | GP 30

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-19 vs Cornell Big Red W 66 - 54
2005-11-23 vs Nicholls Colonels W 93 - 56
2005-11-26 vs Long Island University Sharks W 80 - 64
2005-11-29 vs Clemson Tigers L 88 - 96
2005-12-03 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 55 - 60
2005-12-07 vs Kansas City Roos W 75 - 71
2005-12-10 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 54 - 91
2005-12-18 vs Saint Francis Red Wolves W 88 - 74
2005-12-20 vs New Hampshire Wildcats W 75 - 51
2005-12-28 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 74 - 59
2005-12-31 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 65 - 53
2006-01-05 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 69 - 104
2006-01-11 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 65 - 61
2006-01-14 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 76 - 80
2006-01-18 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 74 - 54
2006-01-21 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 64 - 75
2006-01-25 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 43 - 72
2006-01-28 @ Michigan State Spartans L 60 - 69
2006-02-01 vs Michigan Wolverines L 65 - 71
2006-02-04 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 66 - 65
2006-02-08 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers L 66 - 77
2006-02-11 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 62 - 82
2006-02-15 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 71 - 68
2006-02-18 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 69 - 61
2006-02-22 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 65 - 69
2006-02-25 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 68 - 55
2006-03-01 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 38 - 65
2006-03-09 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 60 - 42
2006-03-10 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 56 - 63
2006-03-14 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 71 - 76

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.