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2005-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Penn State Nittany Lions Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 9.2% 90.8% +18.8 โœ“ (18.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 16.8% 83.2% - โœ“
Margin 6.0% 94.0% +15.1 โœ“ (21.9 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.3% 78.7% - โœ“

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +37 (91-54). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Walker * 35 2-8 1-3 0-0 3 6 2 0 4 5 4 -
D. Jackson * 34 0-1 0-1 2-4 3 0 0 0 7 2 -3 -
G. Claxton * 31 4-12 0-2 3-7 5 1 0 0 5 11 0 -
T. Parker * 25 2-5 1-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
B. Hassell * 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 0 2 -
J. Cornley 27 3-8 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
C. McSweeney 17 4-5 4-4 3-5 4 2 0 0 1 15 15 -
M. Bogetic 12 3-6 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
N. Obradovic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carl Krauser * 25 8-10 4-5 0-0 5 6 0 0 2 20 19 -
L. Kendall * 21 3-4 0-0 4-4 7 1 0 2 1 10 15 -
Aaron Gray * 21 5-11 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 1 1 10 13 -
R. Ramon * 21 2-7 0-4 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 5 0 -
J. DeGroat * 18 4-7 2-4 1-2 3 1 1 1 1 11 9 -
Levance Fields 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 2 5 -
Sam Young 17 5-9 1-2 0-1 3 1 2 0 0 11 8 -
K. Benjamin 17 2-7 0-1 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
Antonio Graves 16 4-8 1-5 0-2 0 2 1 0 1 9 3 -
T. Biggs 15 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
D. Hudson 6 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
M. Bowman 3 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
C. Small 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter