Penn State
Model Outputs
2001-2002
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 955 (#182) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 848 (#261) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 871 (#299) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.8 (#203) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.8 (#196) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.179 (#296) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.438 (#174) | AdjNet -2.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.439 (#174) | AdjNet -2.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.428 (#212) | AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.370 (#262) | AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 69.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.369 (#227) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.358 (#232) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 871 (#247) | RD 139 | GP 28 |
2002 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-11-18 | vs | Yale | L | 74 - 87 |
| 2001-11-21 | vs | Lafayette | W | 75 - 66 |
| 2001-11-24 | @ | Boston College | L | 65 - 88 |
| 2001-11-28 | vs | Clemson | L | 66 - 79 |
| 2001-12-01 | @ | Temple | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2001-12-05 | vs | Lehigh | W | 61 - 48 |
| 2001-12-08 | @ | Pittsburgh | L | 53 - 83 |
| 2001-12-19 | vs | James Madison | L | 69 - 85 |
| 2001-12-22 | vs | Bucknell | W | 78 - 57 |
| 2001-12-28 | N | Coppin State | W | 66 - 49 |
| 2001-12-29 | @ | California | L | 73 - 76 |
| 2002-01-02 | vs | Michigan | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2002-01-05 | @ | Indiana | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2002-01-09 | vs | Wisconsin | W | 51 - 49 |
| 2002-01-16 | @ | Ohio State | L | 57 - 76 |
| 2002-01-19 | vs | Michigan State | L | 65 - 77 |
| 2002-01-23 | vs | Indiana | L | 51 - 85 |
| 2002-01-26 | @ | Wisconsin | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2002-01-30 | @ | Minnesota | L | 70 - 94 |
| 2002-02-02 | @ | Iowa | L | 64 - 81 |
| 2002-02-06 | vs | Purdue | W | 81 - 68 |
| 2002-02-09 | @ | Michigan | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2002-02-13 | vs | Iowa | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2002-02-16 | vs | Northwestern | L | 49 - 55 |
| 2002-02-20 | @ | Illinois | L | 56 - 83 |
| 2002-02-23 | vs | Minnesota | L | 64 - 68 |
| 2002-03-02 | @ | Purdue | L | 57 - 92 |
| 2002-03-07 | N | Minnesota | L | 60 - 84 |
2002 Roster
No roster data available for this season.