Penn State
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1217 (#51) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1137 (#75) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1049 (#106) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.4 (#62) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.9 (#70) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.549 (#134) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.845 (#48) | AdjNet +14.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.848 (#48) | AdjNet +14.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.676 (#55) | AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.592 (#85) | AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 71.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.716 (#56) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.701 (#58) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1159 (#60) | RD 84 | GP 35 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-22 | vs | Lehigh | W | 69 - 56 |
| 1999-11-24 | vs | Loyola (MD) | W | 82 - 67 |
| 1999-11-27 | vs | Boston College | W | 85 - 57 |
| 1999-12-01 | vs | Clemson | W | 85 - 75 |
| 1999-12-04 | @ | Pennsylvania | W | 59 - 56 |
| 1999-12-08 | vs | George Mason | W | 67 - 54 |
| 1999-12-11 | @ | Villanova | L | 61 - 73 |
| 1999-12-19 | vs | Bucknell | W | 67 - 63 |
| 1999-12-22 | @ | Temple | L | 51 - 66 |
| 1999-12-28 | N | Manhattan | W | 83 - 77 |
| 1999-12-29 | @ | Arizona State | L | 85 - 93 |
| 2000-01-05 | @ | Michigan State | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | Indiana | L | 78 - 85 |
| 2000-01-13 | @ | Northwestern | W | 82 - 49 |
| 2000-01-15 | vs | Iowa | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2000-01-19 | vs | Wisconsin | W | 76 - 61 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Illinois | L | 76 - 87 |
| 2000-01-26 | vs | Minnesota | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2000-02-02 | @ | Indiana | L | 77 - 87 |
| 2000-02-06 | vs | Illinois | L | 50 - 51 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | Ohio State | L | 75 - 88 |
| 2000-02-16 | vs | Northwestern | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | Michigan | L | 87 - 89 |
| 2000-02-23 | vs | Michigan State | L | 63 - 79 |
| 2000-02-27 | @ | Purdue | L | 71 - 88 |
| 2000-03-01 | vs | Ohio State | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2000-03-04 | @ | Iowa | L | 83 - 86 |
| 2000-03-09 | N | Michigan | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2000-03-10 | N | Ohio State | W | 71 - 66 |
| 2000-03-11 | N | Illinois | L | 84 - 94 |
| 2000-03-15 | vs | Princeton | W | 55 - 41 |
| 2000-03-20 | vs | Siena | W | 105 - 103 |
| 2000-03-22 | vs | Kent State | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2000-03-28 | N | Notre Dame | L | 52 - 73 |
| 2000-03-30 | N | NC State | W | 74 - 72 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.