Penn State
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1264 (#40) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1164 (#51) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1093 (#50) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.4 (#49) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.1 (#61) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.760 (#49) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.860 (#47) | AdjNet +15.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.863 (#47) | AdjNet +15.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.721 (#50) | AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 62.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.625 (#68) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 64.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.758 (#45) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.742 (#46) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1193 (#42) | RD 86 | GP 32 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-11-25 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | W | 90 - 60 |
| 1994-11-30 | @ | Duquesne | W | 70 - 69 |
| 1994-12-03 | vs | Vanderbilt | W | 95 - 73 |
| 1994-12-06 | vs | Maryland–Eastern Shore | W | 86 - 55 |
| 1994-12-08 | vs | Bucknell | W | 78 - 55 |
| 1994-12-10 | vs | Central Connecticut State | W | 85 - 62 |
| 1994-12-22 | vs | Akron | W | 80 - 45 |
| 1994-12-28 | N | Texas Tech | L | 61 - 67 |
| 1994-12-29 | N | Richmond | W | 66 - 53 |
| 1995-01-04 | @ | Minnesota | L | 67 - 69 |
| 1995-01-08 | vs | Michigan | W | 73 - 63 |
| 1995-01-14 | @ | Ohio State | W | 78 - 64 |
| 1995-01-18 | vs | Indiana | L | 69 - 71 |
| 1995-01-21 | vs | Northwestern | W | 79 - 51 |
| 1995-01-26 | @ | Wisconsin | W | 78 - 67 |
| 1995-01-28 | vs | Purdue | L | 62 - 65 |
| 1995-02-02 | @ | Michigan State | L | 62 - 82 |
| 1995-02-04 | vs | Iowa | W | 74 - 64 |
| 1995-02-08 | @ | Illinois | L | 58 - 67 |
| 1995-02-11 | vs | Michigan State | L | 53 - 68 |
| 1995-02-15 | @ | Purdue | L | 51 - 71 |
| 1995-02-19 | vs | Wisconsin | W | 74 - 67 |
| 1995-02-22 | @ | Northwestern | W | 89 - 59 |
| 1995-02-25 | @ | Indiana | L | 60 - 73 |
| 1995-03-01 | vs | Ohio State | W | 75 - 68 |
| 1995-03-08 | @ | Michigan | L | 60 - 67 |
| 1995-03-11 | vs | Minnesota | W | 69 - 60 |
| 1995-03-15 | vs | Miami (FL) | W | 62 - 56 |
| 1995-03-21 | @ | Nebraska | W | 65 - 59 |
| 1995-03-23 | @ | Iowa | W | 67 - 64 |
| 1995-03-27 | N | Marquette | L | 79 - 87 |
| 1995-03-29 | N | Canisius | W | 66 - 62 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.