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Penn St.-Schuylkill

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: Penn St.-Schuylkill
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 968 (#371) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 961 (#332) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 935 (#573) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -1.4 (#388) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.000 (#749) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -81.0 More → 0.000 (#765) AdjNet -81.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -79.8 More → 0.000 (#762) AdjNet -79.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 39.0 | AdjD 89.2 More → 0.010 (#762) AdjO 39.0 | AdjD 89.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 63.9 More → 0.380 (#547) AdjO 58.5 | AdjD 63.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.224 (#584) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.264 (#562) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 912 (#360) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-19 @ Kutztown L 36 - 105
2025-12-30 @ Lock Haven L 51 - 56

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lanie Wilt - 1 33.1 15.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 17.0 6.0 - - - 29.4 14.3 40.0 - 35.0 32.4
Avana Sayles - 1 23.1 12.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 13.0 10.0 - - - 38.5 0 100.0 - 43.2 38.5
Tayla Jones - 1 27.8 8.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 5.0 97 4.2 15.2 42.9 0 100.0 2.73 50.8 42.9
Madison Rusnica - 1 34.3 7.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 2.0 - - - 20.0 25.0 100.0 - 32.2 25.0
Leah Scheidel - 1 25.7 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 -3.0 - - - 22.2 0.0 100.0 - 33.9 22.2
Tajae Stevenson - 1 25.8 6.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 -3.0 - - - 18.2 33.3 50.0 - 25.3 22.7
Jaidyn McCracken - 1 29.5 5.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 13.0 -1.0 - - - 7.7 9.1 100.0 - 18.0 11.5
Nadia King - 1 32.7 5.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 -1.0 - - - 28.6 20.0 0 - 35.7 35.7
Halle Kuzminski - 1 25.9 4.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Serena Jones - 1 23.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 -20 -1.0 -11.5 25.0 0 100.0 0.18 41.0 25.0
Ellie Irvin - 1 15.7 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Allyana Stephens - 1 9.9 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -2.0 - - - 20.0 20.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Haley Hicks - 1 20.7 2.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Brianna Muffley - 1 15.9 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Madison Bender - 1 21.9 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 -4.0 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Ava Novak - 1 14.2 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Addi Schirato - 1 7.9 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Megan Hauser - 1 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG