🐻⬇️🏀

Penn St.-Mont Alto

Also known as: Penn St.-Mont Alto
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 938 (#414) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 991 (#484) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -27.6 (#659) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.331 (#530) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -37.8 More → 0.012 (#661) AdjNet -37.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -38.6 More → 0.010 (#663) AdjNet -38.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 51.0 | AdjD 75.1 More → 0.101 (#656) AdjO 51.0 | AdjD 75.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.4 | AdjD 61.5 More → 0.429 (#506) AdjO 58.4 | AdjD 61.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.127 (#645) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.158 (#634) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 919 (#401) RD 350 | GP 1

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-02-05 vs Trinity Washington W 75 - 29

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
KALEIGH HARTMAN - 1 33.0 20.0 10.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 23.0 14.0 - - - 34.8 40.0 0.0 -0.35 41.9 43.5
AUTUMN FISCHER - 1 32.0 17.0 7.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 15.0 - - - 57.1 0 50.0 - 57.1 57.1
BROOKLYN MERRYMAN - 1 35.0 12.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 5.0 - - - 45.5 0 100.0 - 50.5 45.5
DARIANA PEREZ - 1 33.0 10.0 6.0 11.0 9.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 22.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 -0.3 50.0 50.0
SHANEZ MORALES - 1 36.0 10.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 11.0 -4 -0.4 -0.4 83.3 0 0 0.04 83.3 83.3
SARAH VANDERSLEEN - 1 31.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 2.0 - - - 37.5 0 0 - 37.5 37.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG