Penn St.-Gr Allegheny
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2017 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 965 (#312) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1030 (#282) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 908 (#460) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 990 (#488) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.3 (#306) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.3 (#536) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.547 (#430) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.000 (#755) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.000 (#596) | NetEff -61.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.027 (#634) | AdjNet -31.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.000 (#747) | AdjNet -75.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.023 (#635) | AdjNet -31.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.000 (#746) | AdjNet -75.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.137 (#637) | AdjO 47.9 | AdjD 68.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.008 (#754) | AdjO 41.4 | AdjD 94.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.415 (#519) | AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 61.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.280 (#544) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.305 (#531) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 963 (#364) | RD 74 | GP 62 |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-16 | @ | Thiel | L | 43 - 68 |
| 2016-11-21 | @ | Westminster (PA) | L | 40 - 67 |
| 2016-11-29 | @ | Elmira | L | 23 - 65 |
| 2016-11-30 | vs | Lancaster Bible | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2016-12-03 | @ | Bryn Athyn | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2016-12-04 | @ | Penn St.-Abington | L | 47 - 75 |
| 2016-12-10 | vs | Valley Forge | L | 50 - 65 |
| 2017-01-07 | @ | Gallaudet | L | 36 - 72 |
| 2017-01-08 | @ | Wilson | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2017-01-10 | @ | Lancaster Bible | L | 47 - 86 |
| 2017-01-12 | vs | Penn St.-Berks | L | 48 - 64 |
| 2017-01-14 | vs | Wilson | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2017-01-15 | vs | Gallaudet | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2017-01-18 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | L | 50 - 66 |
| 2017-01-20 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | L | 63 - 85 |
| 2017-01-25 | vs | Bryn Athyn | L | 42 - 48 |
| 2017-01-28 | @ | SUNY Poly | L | 60 - 91 |
| 2017-01-29 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 46 - 56 |
| 2017-01-29 | vs | Stevens | W | 89 - 43 |
| 2017-02-01 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | L | 40 - 73 |
| 2017-02-04 | @ | Saint Elizabeth | L | 55 - 68 |
| 2017-02-06 | vs | Misericordia | L | 38 - 80 |
| 2017-02-11 | vs | Cazenovia | L | 55 - 63 |
| 2017-02-12 | vs | SUNY Morrisville | L | 47 - 59 |
| 2017-02-17 | @ | Keuka | L | 44 - 74 |
| 2017-02-18 | @ | Wells | L | 36 - 66 |
2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.