Penn St.-Fayette
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 976 (#247) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 868 (#476) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 851 (#574) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -34.3 (#582) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.004 (#695) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.008 (#750) | AdjNet -41.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.008 (#745) | AdjNet -40.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.039 (#753) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 102.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.100 (#601) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 87.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.051 (#596) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.057 (#598) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 664 (#503) | RD 212 | GP 10 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 64 - 94 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Kutztown | L | 68 - 117 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Clarion | L | 59 - 110 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Bloomsburg | L | 45 - 86 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Ohio Dominican | L | 63 - 101 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Bloomsburg | L | 54 - 78 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Salem (WV) | L | 59 - 94 |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | L | 57 - 99 |
| 2025-12-08 | @ | Salem (WV) | L | 69 - 83 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Edinboro | L | 54 - 99 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jr. JesseLawson | - | 4 | 31.6 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 51.6 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 61.8 | 58.6 |
| Joey Lombardo | - | 1 | 32.2 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 54.2 | 46.4 |
| Elijah Hannon | - | 2 | 33.7 | 18.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 12.5 | 17.5 | - | - | - | 64.0 | 0 | 36.4 | - | 60.3 | 64.0 |
| Dashawn Dixon | - | 1 | 26.4 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 45.0 | 42.9 |
| Bryce Hensley | - | 1 | 25.8 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 75.0 | 100.0 | - | 63.6 | 61.1 |
| Xavier Noble | - | 2 | 20.0 | 11.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 42.9 | 50.0 | - | 60.9 | 61.1 |
| Biagio Crossley | - | 2 | 30.5 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 34.6 | 29.4 | 0 | - | 44.2 | 44.2 |
| Jaiden Wiggins | - | 1 | 34.2 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 23.5 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 30.8 | 26.5 |
| Jared Scott | - | 2 | 40.0 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 11.5 | 0.5 | 65 | 3.1 | 23.0 | 30.4 | 33.3 | 37.5 | -1.1 | 35.8 | 34.8 |
| Shyheim Flanagan | - | 2 | 30.6 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 31.6 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 43.7 | 42.1 |
| Tre Worsley | - | 1 | 28.9 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Ty Felmlee | - | 2 | 24.1 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 13.3 | 16.7 | - | 23.0 | 23.3 |
| Brandon Dennison | - | 2 | 24.2 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 29.4 | 0.0 | 60.0 | - | 33.9 | 29.4 |
| Elijah Manning | - | 4 | 24.0 | 6.5 | 5.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 60.0 | - | 67.0 | 66.7 |
| Keith King | - | 1 | 1.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 25 | 1.9 | 10.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.93 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Miles Edwards | - | 1 | 21.6 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 60 | 2.9 | 9.8 | 28.6 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.04 | 38.1 | 28.6 |
| Jerry III | - | 1 | 28.3 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | -1.0 | -62 | -4.8 | -33.4 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.37 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Antwuan Byrd | - | 1 | 11.8 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 75.3 | 50.0 |
| Caden Mitchell | - | 1 | 14.2 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Zikwon Anderson | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Rashawn Wilcox | - | 4 | 23.9 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 6.8 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 36.4 | - | 50.4 | 53.6 |
| D'Anthony Bivins | - | 2 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Hadir Boswell | - | 1 | 24.7 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 23.7 | 25.0 |
| AJ Mieles | - | 1 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Lee Newton | - | 1 | 18.1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Fhenyx Scutt | - | 2 | 16.1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| George McConkey | - | 1 | 16.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| William Powell | - | 4 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 5.5 | -0.8 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 12.5 | 100.0 | - | 32.8 | 29.5 |
| Landon Percinsky | - | 4 | 18.7 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 4.8 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 21.1 | 27.3 | 50.0 | - | 32.3 | 28.9 |
| Trey Gould | - | 1 | 14.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Jeremiah Miller | - | 1 | 14.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -2.0 | 78 | 3.1 | 17.9 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 0 | 4.42 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Max Mazone | - | 2 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 100.0 | 75.0 | - | 30.7 | 18.8 |
| Connor Rushing | - | 1 | 15.9 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Andre Campbell | - | 1 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -3.0 | 95 | 4.5 | 29.3 | 16.7 | 20.0 | 0 | 1.02 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Dante Stokes | - | 1 | 21.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Axcel Kamanga | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Mark Rodriguez, Jr. | - | 1 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 107 | 4.7 | 25.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 1.54 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Xavier Gaffney | - | 2 | 22.6 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | -2.5 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Devin Adams | - | 1 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Yiljep Yiljep | - | 1 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Quadir Hines | - | 2 | 9.2 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 34.0 | 30.0 |
| Joey Dunstone | - | 1 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Dennis Ivey | - | 1 | 9.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Zyeir Olasewere | - | 2 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Nick Epp | - | 2 | 14.6 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Seth Evans | - | 1 | 15.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Damon Gamble | - | 1 | 14.9 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Sean Cunningham | - | 3 | 9.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Zachary Hill | - | 4 | 12.9 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| Ike Nwamumu | - | 2 | 7.3 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Amir Gray | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Makhi Jones | - | 1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 100 | 4.5 | 33.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.94 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Andrew Sepp | - | 1 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dasilas Jones | - | 2 | 15.7 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | -2.0 | 65 | 3.2 | 44.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.08 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zay Fowlks | - | 2 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaylen Singh | - | 1 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Leaks | - | 1 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Anthony Williams | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19 | 1.1 | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.62 | 0 | 0 |
| Britton-James Johnson | - | 2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 56 | 2.9 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Marcus Steane | - | 1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG