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Penn St.-Du Bois

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Penn St.-Du Bois
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 923 (#506) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 791 (#596) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 961 (#586) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -42.5 (#778) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.071 (#753) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -31.8 More → 0.024 (#741) AdjNet -31.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -32.0 More → 0.023 (#741) AdjNet -32.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 89.8 More → 0.091 (#751) AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 89.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 81.6 More → 0.257 (#708) AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 81.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.061 (#770) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.083 (#764) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 3 More → 767 (#572) RD 350 | GP 3

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-12 @ Thiel L 69 - 75
2025-11-14 @ Saint Vincent L 49 - 104
2025-11-25 @ Mount Aloysius L 73 - 102

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ashton Fortson - 3 33.4 20.7 9.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 2.0 15.3 14.7 - - - 56.5 50.0 71.4 - 63.2 62.0
Cole Love - 3 22.5 12.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.3 11.3 -0.3 -38 -4.2 -530.2 38.2 28.6 60.0 0.17 46.9 44.1
Niare Poplar - 3 26.4 9.3 2.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 2.0 7.0 5.0 1 0.1 0.3 42.9 40.0 85.7 -0.12 58.1 52.4
Jordin Sommers - 3 29.7 6.7 3.3 5.7 0.3 0.0 6.7 6.0 3.3 - - - 38.9 28.6 80.0 - 49.5 44.4
Owen Pearson - 3 17.2 4.3 4.7 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.0 4.3 5.3 - - - 46.2 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Brad Weber - 3 14.3 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.3 2.3 0.7 - - - 42.9 25.0 50.0 - 50.8 50.0
Alex Preston - 3 19.1 2.3 4.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.0 3.0 3.7 - - - 33.3 0 25.0 - 32.5 33.3
Kamal Ferrell - 3 10.9 2.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.3 0.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 50.0 - 34.2 28.6
Gavin Morton - 2 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jadon Myers - 1 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Hakim Supplee-Reid - 1 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG