Penn St.-Beaver
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 962 (#318) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 983 (#350) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 983 (#505) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -31.4 (#670) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.220 (#572) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.428 (#382) | NetEff -1.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.020 (#642) | AdjNet -33.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.017 (#639) | AdjNet -34.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.110 (#648) | AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 79.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.305 (#600) | AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.129 (#644) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.151 (#639) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1009 (#293) | RD 307 | GP 3 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 62 - 52 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Franciscan | W | 78 - 76 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Enderle | - | 2 | 25.9 | 18.5 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 7.5 | 16.5 | - | - | - | 73.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 77.7 | 73.3 |
| Bailey Rieg | - | 2 | 29.7 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 9.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 31.6 | 27.3 | 100.0 | - | 48.5 | 39.5 |
| Taylor Woodruff | - | 2 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 0 | 61.5 | - | 38.9 | 30.0 |
| Jaden Tesch | - | 2 | 33.4 | 9.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 11.0 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 0.0 | 28.6 | - | 35.9 | 36.4 |
| Ny'Ashia Barnes | - | 2 | 21.1 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 31.2 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 36.6 | 31.2 |
| Cashimere Ralph | - | 2 | 18.4 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 50.9 | 54.5 |
| Pricilla Long | - | 1 | 14.8 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Caitlyn O'Hara | - | 2 | 22.3 | 5.0 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 7.0 | -15 | -0.8 | -10.1 | 22.2 | 100.0 | 83.3 | -2.05 | 43.0 | 27.8 |
| Lillian Holland | - | 2 | 12.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Claudia Siegfried | - | 1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Eve Pfeiffer | - | 2 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -18 | -2.0 | -169.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.23 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sanii Poindexter-Grant | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG