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Penn St.-Beaver

Also known as: Penn St.-Beaver
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 962 (#318) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 983 (#350) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 983 (#505) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -31.4 (#670) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.220 (#572) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.8 More → 0.428 (#382) NetEff -1.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -33.7 More → 0.020 (#642) AdjNet -33.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -34.6 More → 0.017 (#639) AdjNet -34.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 79.9 More → 0.110 (#648) AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 79.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 66.5 More → 0.305 (#600) AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 66.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.129 (#644) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.151 (#639) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 307 | GP 3 More → 1009 (#293) RD 307 | GP 3

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Pitt.-Greensburg W 62 - 52
2025-11-25 @ Franciscan W 78 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Katie Enderle - 2 25.9 18.5 6.0 0.5 4.5 0.5 6.0 7.5 16.5 - - - 73.3 0.0 75.0 - 77.7 73.3
Bailey Rieg - 2 29.7 10.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.0 9.5 2.0 - - - 31.6 27.3 100.0 - 48.5 39.5
Taylor Woodruff - 2 25.0 10.0 7.5 3.0 2.0 0.5 4.0 10.0 9.0 - - - 30.0 0 61.5 - 38.9 30.0
Jaden Tesch - 2 33.4 9.0 3.5 0.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 11.0 4.5 - - - 36.4 0.0 28.6 - 35.9 36.4
Ny'Ashia Barnes - 2 21.1 6.5 3.0 3.5 3.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 7.0 - - - 31.2 0.0 75.0 - 36.6 31.2
Cashimere Ralph - 2 18.4 6.5 7.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 5.5 7.5 - - - 54.5 0 25.0 - 50.9 54.5
Pricilla Long - 1 14.8 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 75.0 0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Caitlyn O'Hara - 2 22.3 5.0 7.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 4.5 7.0 -15 -0.8 -10.1 22.2 100.0 83.3 -2.05 43.0 27.8
Lillian Holland - 2 12.2 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Claudia Siegfried - 1 20.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Eve Pfeiffer - 2 6.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 -18 -2.0 -169.4 0.0 0 0 -2.23 0.0 0.0
Sanii Poindexter-Grant - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG