Penn St.-Altoona
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 983 (#269) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1004 (#324) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1062 (#149) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.3 (#292) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.5 (#504) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.564 (#426) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.677 (#288) | NetEff +5.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.070 (#569) | AdjNet -22.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.059 (#577) | AdjNet -23.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.199 (#584) | AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 72.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.464 (#441) | AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 61.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.354 (#493) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.384 (#474) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1039 (#266) | RD 107 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | East. Mennonite | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Gettysburg | L | 45 - 72 |
| 2025-11-13 | vs | Juniata | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2025-11-17 | @ | Penn College | L | 61 - 68 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Alfred | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Lycoming | W | 69 - 49 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 64 - 39 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | L | 64 - 70 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Waynesburg | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 51 - 56 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Alfred St. | W | 77 - 57 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Carlow | W | 79 - 51 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | La Roche | L | 64 - 72 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Mount Aloysius | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 89 - 51 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Hilbert | W | 85 - 39 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 102 - 53 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Carlow | W | 80 - 38 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | La Roche | W | 61 - 54 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanie Wilt | - | 17 | 31.1 | 16.6 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 15.2 | 10.0 | 157 | 11.2 | 51.0 | 36.7 | 35.6 | 74.1 | 2.68 | 47.9 | 42.9 |
| Avana Sayles | - | 19 | 30.9 | 15.4 | 10.1 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 17.1 | 12.4 | 123 | 7.7 | 36.6 | 41.2 | 0.0 | 59.5 | 3.19 | 42.7 | 41.2 |
| Jaidyn McCracken | - | 19 | 30.1 | 11.2 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 11.7 | 8.1 | 141 | 8.8 | 42.0 | 37.2 | 29.4 | 76.9 | 1.11 | 46.6 | 45.5 |
| Madison Rusnica | - | 15 | 26.2 | 9.1 | 4.1 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 7.7 | 56 | 4.0 | 33.4 | 34.8 | 21.1 | 71.4 | 2.12 | 43.8 | 37.8 |
| Allyana Stephens | - | 19 | 11.9 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 15 | 1.0 | 8.9 | 31.1 | 29.5 | 37.5 | 2.1 | 43.4 | 43.4 |
| Abigail McAlexander | - | 5 | 13.7 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 10 | 2.0 | 18.2 | 37.5 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -0.93 | 43.0 | 41.7 |
| Halle Kuzminski | - | 19 | 20.9 | 3.6 | 6.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 9.3 | 124 | 7.3 | 63.9 | 45.2 | 0 | 81.2 | 2.02 | 50.0 | 45.2 |
| Ellie Irvin | - | 19 | 18.2 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 88 | 5.5 | 39.1 | 29.7 | 24.1 | 50.0 | 4.33 | 37.5 | 37.4 |
| Haley Hicks | - | 19 | 14.1 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 49 | 3.1 | 22.4 | 46.0 | 0 | 54.5 | 2.49 | 47.2 | 46.0 |
| Elizabeth Painter | - | 8 | 8.7 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 0.0 | -16 | -3.2 | -14.9 | 19.4 | 21.4 | 0.0 | -3.88 | 28.2 | 29.0 |
| Skylar McCall | - | 7 | 9.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 9 | 3.0 | 118.7 | 29.4 | 25.0 | 30.0 | -0.55 | 32.7 | 32.4 |
| Addi Schirato | - | 17 | 9.8 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.7 | 0.0 | 45.5 | -2.18 | 40.5 | 38.7 |
| Addy Nardolillo | - | 7 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 0.3 | -8 | -2.0 | -12.4 | 23.5 | 25.0 | 0 | -1.8 | 26.5 | 26.5 |
| Hannah Glunt | - | 8 | 7.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | -16 | -3.2 | -18.6 | 14.3 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -3.24 | 26.9 | 21.4 |
| Infiniti Lewis | - | 2 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jess Burns | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG