Penn St.-Altoona
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 937 (#487) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 988 (#397) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1040 (#204) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.0 (#325) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.9 (#683) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.425 (#514) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.122 (#615) | AdjNet -17.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.117 (#614) | AdjNet -17.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.243 (#598) | AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 84.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.293 (#679) | AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 82.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.282 (#587) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.293 (#595) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1047 (#298) | RD 141 | GP 6 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Mount Aloysius | W | 92 - 72 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Pitt.-Bradford | L | 78 - 104 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Hilbert | W | 95 - 82 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 97 - 86 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Carlow | L | 79 - 94 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | La Roche | W | 62 - 60 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Daniels | - | 4 | 33.5 | 25.0 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 17.5 | 12.2 | -27 | -1.9 | -9.0 | 54.3 | 33.3 | 63.6 | -0.28 | 62.8 | 61.4 |
| Jeremy Rodriguez | - | 1 | 20.3 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 73 | 4.1 | 21.0 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 1.89 | 77.6 | 83.3 |
| Kaden Claar | - | 4 | 32.1 | 17.2 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 11.5 | 16.8 | -20 | -1.0 | -5.0 | 50.0 | 42.9 | 93.3 | 0.15 | 65.6 | 59.8 |
| Rodd Yarbrough | - | 1 | 18.3 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 109.3 | 108.3 |
| Brandon Bell | - | 1 | 32.5 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 60.0 | 2.58 | 46.5 | 43.3 |
| Drew Escala | - | 4 | 21.2 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61.8 | 37.5 | 80.0 | 2.63 | 71.8 | 70.6 |
| Xavion Boone | - | 1 | 7.9 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 29 | 2.2 | 10.1 | 80.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0.33 | 88.8 | 90.0 |
| Major Rainey | - | 1 | 32.9 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | -47 | -2.5 | -10.8 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.06 | 54.5 | 54.5 |
| Cooper Rankin | - | 1 | 32.4 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 29 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 27.3 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 0.8 | 37.9 | 31.8 |
| Tra Edwards | - | 1 | 16.6 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 65 | 3.6 | 30.9 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.1 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Jesse Laster | - | 1 | 14.9 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Bryce Epps | - | 1 | 31.8 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | -21 | -1.1 | -5.4 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.49 | 41.0 | 37.5 |
| Logan Golle | - | 1 | 34.1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | -40 | -2.1 | -10.2 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0.76 | 45.7 | 35.7 |
| Chris Martin | - | 1 | 23.4 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 16 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.15 | 71.7 | 75.0 |
| Michael Baskerville | - | 3 | 22.2 | 6.7 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 12.0 | -87 | -4.8 | -37.6 | 53.8 | 33.3 | 71.4 | -1.25 | 62.2 | 57.7 |
| Tommy Walton | - | 1 | 11.7 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | -24 | -1.5 | -14.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -3.99 | 33.8 | 25.0 |
| Mason Kargo | - | 4 | 29.5 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 9.5 | 31 | 1.6 | 8.9 | 31.2 | 11.1 | 100.0 | 3.03 | 54.0 | 34.4 |
| Zion Bruce | - | 4 | 15.0 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | -62 | -3.3 | -35.5 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -2.51 | 47.9 | 43.8 |
| Max Voyda | - | 2 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 15 | 1.9 | 274.8 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.65 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jeston Beatty | - | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -42 | -2.3 | -16.7 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.77 | 25.4 | 14.3 |
| Aidan McCormack | - | 4 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 4.2 | -52 | -3.2 | -37.9 | 46.2 | 50.0 | 0 | -2.57 | 53.8 | 53.8 |
| Jalen Triplin | - | 2 | 6.4 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | -11 | -0.9 | -41.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.02 | 90.2 | 100.0 |
| Jordyn Fougerousse | - | 1 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -10 | -0.5 | -9.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.24 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| JT Harman | - | 2 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 22 | 2.8 | 403.1 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.65 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Sean Martin | - | 2 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 19 | 2.7 | 348.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.65 | 56.3 | 62.5 |
| Dante Sanchez | - | 1 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -17 | -1.2 | -29.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.33 | 36.2 | 0.0 |
| Eli Sterling | - | 3 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 12 | 0.9 | 19.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.0 | 46.0 | 33.3 |
| Brendan Abell | - | 4 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.4 | 10.9 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 75.0 | -1.97 | 52.1 | 37.5 |
| Ezekial Sean Capers | - | 4 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -17 | -2.4 | -42.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.87 | 61.5 | 62.5 |
| Elliot Johansson | - | 4 | 11.7 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 40.0 | -2.53 | 17.9 | 11.1 |
| Teddy Mangan | - | 2 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -16 | -1.1 | -110.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Samuel Brown | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 53 | 3.3 | 39.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.83 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Joncas | - | 1 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | 12 | 0.9 | 24.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.24 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Blake Krznaric | - | 1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -4 | -1.3 | -129.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.86 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Nasier Starks | - | 1 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -19 | -1.9 | -30.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Kirkland Miller | - | 1 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 34 | 1.9 | 24.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG