Penn St.-Abington
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 778 (#626) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 746 (#620) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 881 (#697) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -19.3 (#359) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -23.5 (#715) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.101 (#737) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.019 (#756) | AdjNet -34.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.018 (#755) | AdjNet -34.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.090 (#752) | AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 87.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.258 (#706) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 84.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.174 (#694) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.173 (#700) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 749 (#584) | RD 141 | GP 7 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Cairn | L | 83 - 104 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Mary Washington | L | 71 - 87 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Lancaster Bible | L | 70 - 101 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | L | 75 - 83 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | L | 81 - 94 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Gallaudet | W | 102 - 78 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JoJo Kelly | - | 5 | 32.9 | 22.6 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 16.6 | 10.2 | -73 | -4.1 | -13.3 | 44.6 | 32.4 | 87.5 | 0.91 | 58.2 | 51.2 |
| Tyler Fox | - | 6 | 34.3 | 19.7 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 16.2 | 9.3 | - | - | - | 43.3 | 51.0 | 69.2 | - | 57.4 | 56.2 |
| Mike Byfield | - | 6 | 32.4 | 15.5 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 10.0 | 11.2 | -82 | -4.3 | -19.6 | 55.0 | 36.8 | 80.0 | -1.38 | 65.5 | 60.8 |
| Tyler Meinel | - | 5 | 33.0 | 9.2 | 8.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 8.4 | 10.2 | -82 | -4.6 | -16.3 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 81.8 | -2.26 | 49.1 | 44.0 |
| K'Mari Smith | - | 6 | 33.8 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | -53 | -2.9 | -9.2 | 39.6 | 16.7 | 77.8 | 1.2 | 48.3 | 41.7 |
| Tamir Powell | - | 2 | 22.2 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 5.0 | -71 | -4.4 | -32.0 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.62 | 51.1 | 44.4 |
| Jamze Johnson | - | 6 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 14 | 0.8 | 9.4 | 31.2 | 42.9 | 75.0 | 2.69 | 45.0 | 40.6 |
| Sean Murphy | - | 6 | 14.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 144 | 4.8 | 61.9 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 1.77 | 48.1 | 42.9 |
| Jeremiah Samuel | - | 5 | 6.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 27.9 | 22.2 |
| Salahudin Muhammad | - | 4 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -1 | -0.1 | -3.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.29 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ryan Hankins | - | 2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -4 | -2.0 | -48.5 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.54 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Michael Cronin | - | 3 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | -0.7 | -1 | -0.1 | -6.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG