Penn St. Harrisburg
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1054 (#172) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1072 (#196) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1066 (#139) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.7 (#144) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.3 (#443) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.854 (#268) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.472 (#364) | AdjNet -1.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.464 (#367) | AdjNet -1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.465 (#378) | AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 69.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.534 (#335) | AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 66.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.498 (#395) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.511 (#396) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1048 (#294) | RD 94 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Mount Union | L | 78 - 86 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Montclair St. | L | 73 - 75 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Swarthmore | L | 61 - 71 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Alvernia | W | 80 - 76 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Susquehanna | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Wilson | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Keystone | W | 83 - 60 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Dickinson | L | 53 - 66 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Muhlenberg | W | 61 - 52 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | John Carroll | L | 76 - 79 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | York (PA) | L | 54 - 56 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | W | 74 - 50 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Penn St.-Berks | W | 95 - 56 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Gallaudet | W | 87 - 55 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Penn College | W | 72 - 58 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Valley Forge | W | 87 - 66 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Cairn | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Rosemont | W | 66 - 32 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | St. Mary's (MD) | W | 78 - 67 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Penn St. Brandywine | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Salisbury | W | 75 - 70 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Moore | - | 11 | 26.3 | 14.1 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 11.8 | 9.0 | 39 | 2.4 | 28.7 | 43.1 | 29.5 | 68.2 | 1.69 | 51.9 | 48.1 |
| Chris Henderson | - | 24 | 26.0 | 10.5 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 10.1 | 7.0 | 104 | 5.8 | 39.6 | 35.5 | 21.5 | 64.9 | 0.52 | 44.3 | 39.0 |
| Jordan Spencer | - | 23 | 26.2 | 9.8 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 6.7 | 12.9 | 127 | 7.1 | 48.0 | 49.0 | 35.6 | 69.9 | 3.89 | 59.0 | 54.2 |
| Antwone George | - | 24 | 20.2 | 7.9 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 6.4 | 7.1 | 11 | 0.6 | 5.5 | 43.8 | 32.7 | 54.4 | 2.64 | 51.7 | 49.7 |
| Elija Eccleston | - | 18 | 10.5 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 2.5 | -8 | -0.5 | -6.9 | 54.5 | 37.5 | 78.6 | -3.18 | 67.9 | 65.5 |
| David Reed IV | - | 24 | 14.0 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 5.3 | -29 | -1.6 | -21.3 | 52.2 | 0 | 41.0 | -1.38 | 51.3 | 52.2 |
| Justin Leddo | - | 23 | 10.7 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 3.4 | -39 | -2.3 | -43.4 | 42.3 | 31.7 | 75.0 | -1.76 | 50.8 | 49.0 |
| Andre Thomas | - | 11 | 27.7 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 6.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.0 | 33.9 | 22.2 | 45.5 | -1.41 | 38.6 | 37.5 |
| Maurice Davis | - | 24 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 42 | 2.1 | 25.6 | 47.6 | 0 | 51.4 | 2.57 | 49.3 | 47.6 |
| Kevin Lucas Jr. | - | 11 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 1.9 | -27 | -1.7 | -86.6 | 32.4 | 15.0 | 50.0 | -2.53 | 40.2 | 36.8 |
| Isaiah Milien | - | 9 | 10.6 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 46 | 3.8 | 228.6 | 30.0 | 22.2 | 100.0 | 1.86 | 41.9 | 36.7 |
| Jayson Fain | - | 13 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 26 | 2.6 | 266.7 | 43.5 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 1.38 | 66.3 | 60.9 |
| Mason Pulliam | - | 13 | 8.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 32.3 | 17.6 | 87.5 | - | 43.5 | 37.1 |
| Irby Hunter | - | 7 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 17 | 1.4 | 177.4 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.28 | 33.8 | 37.5 |
| Kyle Rhoden | - | 2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG