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Penn St. Brandywine

Season: 2026 2025
Also known as: Penn St. Brandywine
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 848 (#458) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 726 (#570) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 814 (#677) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -37.4 (#407) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -32.4 (#676) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.038 (#679) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -23.0 More → 0.021 (#544) NetEff -23.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -50.2 More → 0.003 (#702) AdjNet -50.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -51.8 More → 0.002 (#698) AdjNet -51.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 45.4 | AdjD 76.5 More → 0.056 (#697) AdjO 45.4 | AdjD 76.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 47.2 | AdjD 68.0 More → 0.132 (#694) AdjO 47.2 | AdjD 68.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.048 (#697) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.054 (#696) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 22 More → 737 (#519) RD 101 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Neumann L 47 - 60
2025-11-10 @ Alvernia L 31 - 82
2025-11-13 @ Bryn Mawr L 50 - 58
2025-11-15 vs Penn St.-York L 39 - 56
2025-11-18 @ Swarthmore L 35 - 78
2025-11-22 vs Widener L 36 - 86
2025-11-25 @ Penn St. Harrisburg L 51 - 64
2025-12-02 vs Cheyney L 41 - 81
2025-12-13 vs Haverford L 43 - 66
2026-01-10 @ Cairn W 61 - 55
2026-01-13 @ Valley Forge W 64 - 42
2026-01-17 @ Notre Dame (MD) L 44 - 74
2026-01-21 vs Keystone W 63 - 44
2026-01-22 vs Wilmington (DE) L 51 - 75
2026-01-28 @ Wilson L 58 - 75
2026-01-31 vs Penn College L 37 - 57
2026-02-02 @ Penn St.-Berks W 70 - 44
2026-02-04 vs Penn St. Harrisburg L 53 - 70
2026-02-07 vs Cedar Crest L 49 - 74

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trinell Watson - 17 24.7 9.7 4.3 1.1 1.7 0.0 3.2 11.6 2.0 -86 -6.6 -32.6 28.4 12.5 67.6 -0.2 35.9 29.2
Ashley Robinson - 13 21.3 8.2 5.5 1.2 2.2 0.0 3.1 10.3 3.6 -29 -2.4 -15.1 24.6 19.4 58.9 -0.17 33.4 27.2
Jazmyn Kemp - 19 23.8 6.5 8.7 0.4 1.8 1.2 1.5 7.9 9.2 -133 -7.4 -48.9 28.5 0.0 45.1 -3.46 32.9 28.5
Tejanae Ballin - 9 22.1 5.4 4.8 0.2 1.1 0.1 2.1 5.1 4.4 -52 -5.8 -82.6 39.1 40.0 50.0 -0.43 45.4 43.5
Analise Sierra - 19 24.0 4.8 3.9 0.9 0.8 0.3 1.6 6.6 2.5 -85 -5.7 -47.4 24.8 18.3 62.1 0.59 33.0 29.2
Taylor Mims - 11 17.2 4.5 1.4 0.4 2.0 0.2 1.3 6.5 0.5 -72 -6.5 -41.5 31.9 7.1 40.0 -1.36 33.0 32.6
Raelyn Loper - 16 19.9 4.4 2.1 1.1 2.0 0.2 3.3 4.6 1.9 -95 -6.8 -99.8 28.8 0.0 78.4 -3.05 39.8 28.8
Journey Handy - 18 22.1 3.9 2.9 1.0 0.7 0.2 1.2 5.2 2.3 -63 -3.7 -25.1 26.6 26.8 50.0 -3.26 37.1 36.7
Cassidy Tolbert - 19 19.2 3.7 3.3 1.2 1.2 0.1 1.8 4.8 2.9 -39 -2.3 -22.0 34.1 5.9 80.0 -0.4 37.2 34.6
Caroline Messick - 7 11.8 3.3 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.7 1.4 4.3 0.3 0 0.0 0.0 26.7 20.0 50.0 1.13 35.2 33.3
Abigail Adorno - 17 19.1 2.8 2.5 1.1 1.1 0.1 2.5 4.9 0.1 -44 -2.9 -17.1 16.7 10.5 61.5 -0.46 25.1 19.0
Rayne Manson - 13 12.0 2.3 1.2 0.3 1.2 0.1 1.7 2.9 0.5 -67 -5.6 -58.7 34.2 16.7 21.4 -0.65 34.0 35.5
Destiny Johnson - 9 11.6 1.9 2.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 1.8 4.2 -0.9 -44 -4.9 -63.0 21.1 8.3 0.0 -3.71 21.9 22.4
Tahkya Pray - 8 4.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.6 0.8 1.1 8 2.0 48.0 50.0 0 60.0 -0.2 54.9 50.0
Lanna Chhim - 7 2.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.1 -3 -0.6 -20.9 0.0 0 0 -0.08 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG