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Paul Smiths

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019
Also known as: Paul Smiths
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 957 (#452) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 910 (#479) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 982 (#549) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -29.8 (#755) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.041 (#767) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -45.9 More → 0.005 (#785) AdjNet -45.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -46.0 More → 0.005 (#784) AdjNet -46.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 95.2 More → 0.038 (#787) AdjO 59.6 | AdjD 95.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 75.0 More → 0.414 (#561) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 75.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.185 (#675) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.221 (#655) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 908 (#464) RD 350 | GP 1

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-08 @ SUNY Canton L 50 - 79

2023 Roster

No roster data available for this season.