🐻⬇️🏀

Patrick Henry

Season: 2026 2025
Also known as: Patrick Henry
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 954 (#461) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 878 (#521) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 985 (#545) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -28.4 (#749) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.045 (#764) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -38.2 More → 0.012 (#769) AdjNet -38.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -38.2 More → 0.011 (#767) AdjNet -38.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.4 | AdjD 87.2 More → 0.068 (#768) AdjO 58.4 | AdjD 87.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 74.6 More → 0.420 (#554) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 74.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.184 (#677) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.220 (#656) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 887 (#497) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Valley Forge L 56 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Denzel Pierre - 1 27.0 14.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 8.0 -19 -1.1 -9.8 25.0 20.0 100.0 -1.86 39.4 31.2
Isaiah Reece - 1 27.0 12.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 9.0 76 4.5 40.7 50.0 0 66.7 0.05 56.4 50.0
Christian Metivia - 1 20.0 10.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 13.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 75.0 - 66.5 50.0
Michael Broady - 1 16.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 -68 -5.2 -210.0 33.3 20.0 0 0.58 41.7 41.7
Mike Gaines - 1 11.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 119 10.8 723.0 50.0 50.0 0 0.67 62.5 62.5
Dominik McKenney-George - 1 13.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 -4.0 -56 -4.0 -36.8 25.0 0.0 0 1.37 25.0 25.0
William Lawder - 1 27.0 4.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 -3 -0.2 -1.2 16.7 0 100.0 0.61 29.1 16.7
Deven Dowdie - 1 20.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 2.0 15 0.8 9.6 14.3 0.0 0 0.45 14.3 14.3
Jaden Cesar - 1 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -47 -3.4 -87.9 50.0 0 0 -1.99 50.0 50.0
Ace Branham - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 -68 -6.2 -189.8 0.0 0.0 0 -2.57 0.0 0.0
Aiden Littleton - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -58 -5.8 -39.5 0 0 0 -1.11 0 0
Camar Gregorio - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -9 -1.0 -74.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.39 0.0 0.0
Jason Brice - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -47 -2.8 -44.4 0 0 0 -2.52 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG