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Palm Beach Atlantic Sailfish

Season: 2022 2017 2015 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Also known as: Palm Beach Atlantic Sailfish
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 964 (#495) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 983 (#357) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 997 (#317) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +13.3 (#356) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -1.8 (#375) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 69.4 More → 0.483 (#300) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 69.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.451 (#354) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.456 (#338) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 921 (#391) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-08 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 63 - 84

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marcus Montalvo Marcus Montalvo G 1 26.0 14.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 15.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.13 0 0
Nate Ward Nate Ward G 1 24.0 11.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.14 0 0
Jakob Hester Jakob Hester F 1 16.0 9.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.51 0 0
Ivan Raut Ivan Raut F 1 20.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jonathan Philistin Jonathan Philistin F 1 19.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kutluhan Celayir Kutluhan Celayir G 1 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Rakic A. Rakic - 1 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jayden Iturmendi Jayden Iturmendi G 1 20.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Gorton A. Gorton - 1 14.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0
J. Nichelson J. Nichelson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - -0.07 - -
Jules Jasmin Jules Jasmin F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - -0.22 - -
Ryan Moore Ryan Moore G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Will Lee Will Lee G 1 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 -4.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
J. Cooper J. Cooper F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -96 -4.2 -12.9 - - - -0.17 - -
Jack Scott Jack Scott F 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -8 -0.7 -4.3 0 0 0 -0.1 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG