Palm Beach Atl.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 974 (#337) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 947 (#355) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1023 (#226) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.9 (#204) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.0 (#266) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.496 (#363) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.569 (#255) | NetEff +2.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.730 (#308) | AdjNet +8.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.742 (#311) | AdjNet +8.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.638 (#296) | AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 61.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.606 (#161) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 58.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.586 (#279) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.600 (#264) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1018 (#234) | RD 97 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | @ | North Florida | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | West Florida | L | 50 - 60 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Valdosta St. | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | P.R.-Mayaguez | W | 72 - 50 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Florida Tech | W | 57 - 53 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Clayton St. | L | 55 - 56 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 52 - 47 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Seattle Pacific | L | 42 - 53 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Lynn | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Barry | L | 55 - 69 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Nova Southeastern | L | 65 - 76 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Ave Maria | W | 66 - 43 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Bowie St. | W | 58 - 50 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Fla. Southern | L | 52 - 67 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Saint Leo | W | 72 - 66 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Tampa | W | 62 - 54 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Rollins | W | 79 - 40 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Eckerd | L | 52 - 54 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Nova Southeastern | L | 80 - 82 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Barry | W | 62 - 51 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Lynn | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Fla. Southern | L | 70 - 79 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Saint Leo | W | 80 - 66 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anabel Ellison | - | 21 | 32.5 | 13.4 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 11.5 | 11.8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.4 | 32.7 | 75.6 | 1.15 | 49.9 | 44.0 |
| Breeje Schuler | - | 23 | 33.1 | 13.0 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 12.2 | 10.7 | -17 | -0.8 | -3.1 | 40.6 | 36.4 | 80.0 | 0.85 | 49.5 | 46.3 |
| KB Hadley | - | 23 | 33.4 | 10.6 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 10.3 | 7.5 | -30 | -1.3 | -5.4 | 41.2 | 24.0 | 67.3 | 0.24 | 46.6 | 43.7 |
| Darria Whitley | - | 22 | 30.2 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 4.7 | -64 | -3.0 | -11.9 | 34.9 | 33.6 | 57.7 | -1.33 | 46.9 | 45.8 |
| Blanche Toualeu | - | 21 | 17.8 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 6.2 | -7 | -0.3 | -3.4 | 47.4 | 50.0 | 57.4 | -0.77 | 52.0 | 47.9 |
| Anaya Smith | - | 21 | 25.2 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 6.1 | 4.0 | -9 | -0.4 | -2.5 | 34.1 | 22.2 | 56.8 | 0.59 | 39.4 | 35.7 |
| Maddie Wallhoff | - | 21 | 13.8 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 8 | 0.4 | 6.0 | 39.3 | 39.6 | 66.7 | 1.89 | 57.1 | 56.2 |
| Maren McCallister | - | 22 | 12.9 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 1.8 | -49 | -2.2 | -39.5 | 34.9 | 29.6 | 76.9 | -1.45 | 45.1 | 41.3 |
| Natalie Allen | - | 11 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | -37 | -3.1 | -198.2 | 27.3 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.4 | 36.4 | 36.4 |
| Khalia Whoodley | - | 22 | 10.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | -84 | -4.0 | -82.0 | 24.3 | 25.9 | 55.6 | -0.07 | 36.6 | 33.8 |
| Princess Hester | - | 3 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG