🐻⬇️🏀

Paine

Season: 2026
Also known as: Paine
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1037 (#270) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1007 (#385) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -8.3 (#479) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.611 (#396) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.1 More → 0.611 (#319) NetEff +3.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -37.8 More → 0.012 (#660) AdjNet -37.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -39.6 More → 0.010 (#662) AdjNet -39.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 38.1 | AdjD 62.1 More → 0.102 (#655) AdjO 38.1 | AdjD 62.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 63.4 More → 0.474 (#430) AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 63.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.370 (#482) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.386 (#470) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1074 (#218) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-11 @ Wesleyan (GA) W 78 - 75
2025-12-02 vs Wesleyan (GA) L 0 - 0

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ayva Tillmon - 1 39.8 28.0 6.0 8.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 21.0 23.0 - - - 47.6 20.0 77.8 - 56.1 50.0
Nina Solomon - 1 38.7 17.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 17.0 8.0 - - - 47.1 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Adia Dormu - 1 25.7 17.0 6.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 15.0 - - - 72.7 0 20.0 - 64.4 72.7
Leia Brown - 1 39.8 11.0 13.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 13.0 13 0.7 3.0 27.3 40.0 50.0 3.31 40.3 36.4
A'Keira Blue - 1 16.1 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0
Tailin Ward - 1 14.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 14.8 0.0
Jayla Lockhart - 1 19.7 1.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 25.0 - 7.4 0.0
Daiyah Ruger - 1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kindal Glanton - 1 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG