Pacific
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1066 (#123) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 990 (#170) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 988 (#166) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.5 (#127) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.7 (#120) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.586 (#116) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.546 (#137) | AdjNet +1.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.546 (#137) | AdjNet +1.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.538 (#128) | AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 75.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.545 (#113) | AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 75.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.519 (#143) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.521 (#141) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 971 (#170) | RD 126 | GP 29 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-11-26 | N | Michigan State | L | 64 - 83 |
| 1993-11-27 | N | Coppin State | L | 77 - 86 |
| 1993-11-28 | N | Wright State | W | 99 - 94 |
| 1993-12-01 | vs | Sacramento State | W | 91 - 64 |
| 1993-12-04 | @ | Oregon | W | 75 - 69 |
| 1993-12-11 | vs | Fresno State | W | 81 - 71 |
| 1993-12-18 | @ | San Diego | L | 66 - 83 |
| 1993-12-28 | N | Georgia | L | 63 - 68 |
| 1993-12-29 | @ | Washington | L | 45 - 57 |
| 1994-01-03 | @ | Utah State | L | 65 - 74 |
| 1994-01-05 | @ | Nevada | L | 78 - 83 |
| 1994-01-08 | vs | San Jose State | W | 69 - 67 |
| 1994-01-15 | vs | UC Santa Barbara | W | 74 - 64 |
| 1994-01-17 | vs | Long Beach State | W | 92 - 69 |
| 1994-01-20 | @ | UC Irvine | W | 73 - 71 |
| 1994-01-22 | @ | Cal State Fullerton | W | 76 - 69 |
| 1994-01-27 | vs | Nevada–Las Vegas | W | 108 - 95 |
| 1994-01-29 | vs | New Mexico State | L | 94 - 95 |
| 1994-02-03 | vs | Cal State Fullerton | W | 97 - 66 |
| 1994-02-05 | vs | UC Irvine | W | 88 - 79 |
| 1994-02-10 | @ | Long Beach State | L | 75 - 88 |
| 1994-02-12 | @ | UC Santa Barbara | L | 78 - 88 |
| 1994-02-19 | @ | San Jose State | W | 78 - 62 |
| 1994-02-24 | vs | Nevada | W | 86 - 69 |
| 1994-02-26 | vs | Utah State | L | 79 - 84 |
| 1994-03-03 | @ | New Mexico State | L | 73 - 86 |
| 1994-03-05 | @ | Nevada–Las Vegas | L | 75 - 76 |
| 1994-03-11 | N | Long Beach State | W | 87 - 74 |
| 1994-03-12 | N | UC Irvine | L | 78 - 82 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.