Ozarks (MO)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 927 (#372) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 914 (#448) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 958 (#553) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.5 (#231) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.2 (#433) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.983 (#161) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.367 (#511) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.859 (#235) | AdjNet +15.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.312 (#444) | AdjNet -6.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.860 (#237) | AdjNet +15.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.298 (#446) | AdjNet -7.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.714 (#226) | AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 58.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.390 (#448) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.450 (#482) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.356 (#491) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.374 (#481) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 921 (#394) | RD 94 | GP 21 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-10 | @ | Philander Smith | L | 49 - 88 |
| 2018-11-13 | vs | Hendrix | L | 63 - 73 |
| 2018-11-15 | @ | Rhodes | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-17 | @ | Fontbonne | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-18 | @ | Bluffton | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-27 | @ | Hendrix | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2018-12-01 | @ | UT Tyler | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2018-12-03 | vs | McMurry | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-05 | vs | Hardin-Simmons | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-15 | @ | Mary Hardin-Baylor | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-17 | @ | Concordia (TX) | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-03 | vs | Howard Payne | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-05 | vs | Sul Ross St. | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-10 | @ | Belhaven | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-12 | @ | Louisiana Col. | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-15 | @ | Dallas Christian | W | 82 - 52 |
| 2019-01-19 | vs | Texas-Dallas | L | 42 - 89 |
| 2019-01-21 | vs | UT Tyler | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2019-01-24 | vs | LeTourneau | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-26 | vs | East Tex. Baptist | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-31 | @ | East Tex. Baptist | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-02 | @ | LeTourneau | W | 54 - 40 |
| 2019-02-07 | @ | Texas-Dallas | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-14 | vs | Louisiana Col. | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-16 | vs | Belhaven | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-21 | @ | Hardin-Simmons | - | Preview |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.