🐻⬇️🏀

Ozarks (MO)

Also known as: Ozarks (MO)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 780 (#764) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -24.3 (#723) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.776 (#303) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.7 More → 0.367 (#419) AdjNet -4.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.8 More → 0.362 (#415) AdjNet -4.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 75.6 More → 0.417 (#418) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 75.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 79.3 More → 0.191 (#745) AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 79.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.109 (#743) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.117 (#744) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 6 More → 626 (#626) RD 147 | GP 6

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-08 vs Rhodes W 73 - 68
2022-11-13 vs Hendrix W 76 - 56
2022-11-15 @ Austin W 85 - 56
2022-11-17 @ Ark.-Fort Smith L 51 - 68
2022-11-19 @ Millsaps W 78 - 61
2022-11-20 vs Centenary (LA) L 66 - 69
2022-11-26 vs Austin W 89 - 69
2022-11-28 @ Arkansas Tech L 46 - 67
2022-12-01 vs Sul Ross St. W 81 - 78
2022-12-03 vs Howard Payne W 74 - 63
2022-12-07 @ Texas-Dallas L 69 - 79
2022-12-15 @ McMurry L 77 - 86
2022-12-17 @ Hardin-Simmons L 78 - 110
2022-12-30 @ Hendrix L 80 - 83
2023-01-05 vs Mary Hardin-Baylor L 80 - 101
2023-01-07 vs Concordia (TX) L 85 - 101
2023-01-12 @ LeTourneau L 68 - 85
2023-01-14 @ East Tex. Baptist L 62 - 87
2023-01-19 @ Howard Payne L 115 - 118
2023-01-21 @ Sul Ross St. L 78 - 83
2023-01-28 vs Texas-Dallas L 69 - 73
2023-02-04 vs McMurry W 112 - 102
2023-02-06 vs Hardin-Simmons L 67 - 95
2023-02-09 @ Concordia (TX) L 84 - 96
2023-02-11 @ Mary Hardin-Baylor L 65 - 90
2023-02-16 vs East Tex. Baptist L 70 - 87
2023-02-18 vs LeTourneau L 80 - 92

2023 Roster

No roster data available for this season.