Ozarks (MO)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 780 (#764) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -24.3 (#723) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.776 (#303) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.367 (#419) | AdjNet -4.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.362 (#415) | AdjNet -4.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.417 (#418) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 75.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.191 (#745) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 79.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.109 (#743) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.117 (#744) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 626 (#626) | RD 147 | GP 6 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-05 | @ | Rhodes | L | 52 - 71 |
| 2021-11-07 | @ | Hendrix | L | 62 - 68 |
| 2021-11-11 | @ | Howard Payne | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2021-11-13 | @ | Sul Ross St. | L | 59 - 64 |
| 2021-11-18 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | L | 33 - 90 |
| 2021-11-20 | vs | Austin | W | 96 - 94 |
| 2021-11-23 | @ | Austin | L | 81 - 105 |
| 2021-11-27 | @ | Northeastern St. | L | 61 - 82 |
| 2021-12-02 | @ | Concordia (TX) | L | 72 - 92 |
| 2021-12-03 | @ | Mary Hardin-Baylor | L | 67 - 87 |
| 2021-12-16 | @ | Hardin-Simmons | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-18 | @ | McMurry | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2022-01-01 | vs | Hendrix | L | 67 - 76 |
| 2022-01-06 | vs | Belhaven | W | 86 - 80 |
| 2022-01-08 | vs | East Tex. Baptist | L | 67 - 85 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ | Texas-Dallas | L | 87 - 115 |
| 2022-01-20 | vs | Mary Hardin-Baylor | L | 59 - 85 |
| 2022-01-22 | vs | Concordia (TX) | W | 91 - 88 |
| 2022-01-27 | vs | Sul Ross St. | W | 85 - 83 |
| 2022-01-29 | vs | Howard Payne | L | 72 - 76 |
| 2022-02-05 | vs | Hardin-Simmons | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-08 | vs | McMurry | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-10 | @ | East Tex. Baptist | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | @ | Belhaven | L | 69 - 72 |
| 2022-02-17 | vs | Texas-Dallas | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2022-02-19 | vs | LeTourneau | L | 88 - 91 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.