Ozarks (MO)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 780 (#764) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -24.3 (#723) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.776 (#303) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.367 (#419) | AdjNet -4.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.362 (#415) | AdjNet -4.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.417 (#418) | AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 75.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.191 (#745) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 79.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.109 (#743) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.117 (#744) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 621 (#635) | RD 146 | GP 6 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-01-01 | @ | Arkansas Tech | L | 59 - 64 |
| 2021-01-03 | @ | Ark.-Monticello | L | 45 - 75 |
| 2021-01-16 | vs | East Tex. Baptist | L | 65 - 76 |
| 2021-01-28 | vs | Sul Ross St. | W | 71 - 70 |
| 2021-01-30 | vs | Howard Payne | W | 94 - 88 |
| 2021-02-04 | @ | East Tex. Baptist | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2021-02-06 | @ | LeTourneau | L | 64 - 86 |
| 2021-02-13 | vs | Belhaven | W | 101 - 78 |
| 2021-02-24 | @ | Texas-Dallas | L | 75 - 79 |
| 2021-02-27 | vs | Texas-Dallas | W | 81 - 76 |
| 2021-03-04 | @ | Hardin-Simmons | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2021-03-06 | @ | McMurry | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2021-03-10 | vs | LeTourneau | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2021-03-14 | vs | Hardin-Simmons | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2021-03-15 | vs | Louisiana Col. | W | 74 - 72 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.