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Our Lady of the Lake Saints

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Our Lady of the Lake Saints
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 891 (#450) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 975 (#418) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -16.7 (#514) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.017 (#617) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -24.4 More → 0.056 (#661) AdjNet -24.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -24.0 More → 0.056 (#658) AdjNet -24.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 94.1 More → 0.138 (#676) AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 94.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 82.3 More → 0.360 (#493) AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 82.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.237 (#513) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.261 (#507) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 3 More → 886 (#388) RD 350 | GP 3

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 @ St. Edward's L 82 - 108
2025-11-24 @ UT Tyler L 67 - 119
2025-11-25 @ UT Tyler L 71 - 83

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Daniel Smith Jr. - 1 33.3 20.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 18.0 0.0 26 2.0 28.4 38.9 25.0 100.0 1.74 49.5 41.7
Jacob Bell - 1 27.4 20.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 16.0 -117 -5.3 -44.1 69.2 20.0 100.0 0.54 74.4 73.1
Ryan Calderon - 1 25.6 16.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 16.0 - - - 60.0 66.7 0 - 80.0 80.0
John Barbee - 1 22.3 14.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 6.0 - - - 35.7 25.0 75.0 - 44.4 39.3
Caleb Richardson - 2 24.5 13.5 2.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 2.5 10.0 6.5 - - - 50.0 57.1 50.0 - 59.6 60.0
Arthur Celestin - 1 20.5 10.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 10.0 - - - 62.5 0 0.0 - 56.3 62.5
Ahmed Shah - 2 19.6 9.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 2.0 - - - 43.8 33.3 50.0 - 53.3 53.1
Noah Suarjaya - 1 29.1 8.0 7.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 17.0 - - - 25.0 14.3 75.0 - 41.0 31.2
Breion Powell - 2 22.5 7.0 2.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 2.5 6.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 25.0 - 50.9 54.2
Kyle Morgan - 1 11.1 7.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 3.0 - - - 37.5 16.7 0 - 43.8 43.8
Boston Caldwell - 1 11.1 6.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 40.0 50.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Sean Emfinger - 1 9.9 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 100.0 - 46.0 40.0
Spencer Gaze - 1 8.3 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 0.0 - - - 28.6 25.0 0 - 35.7 35.7
Mate Kapanadze - 1 13.9 4.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 50.0 - 51.5 50.0
Sam Phipps - 1 17.3 4.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Xavier Williams - 1 17.8 4.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 - - - 66.7 0 0.0 - 51.5 66.7
Marvis Odia - 1 16.8 4.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 0 - 40.0 40.0
Davonte Durst - 1 15.0 4.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 69.4 50.0
Stacey Adams - 2 9.1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.5 - - - 40.0 33.3 50.0 - 51.0 50.0
Daniel Cruz - 2 9.1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.5 - - - 40.0 33.3 50.0 - 51.0 50.0
Jalen Hamspan - 2 8.3 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 0.5 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Rob Gil - 2 8.3 3.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 0.5 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Hudson Anderson - 1 11.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Gregory Fowlds - 1 4.6 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Heath Tenner - 1 4.7 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Eddie McAfee - 2 6.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 -1.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Caden Cooper - 1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nathan Guevara - 1 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Christopher Carpenter - 1 10.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Patrick Carr - 1 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Caleb Landon - 1 13.3 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ognjen Cocic - 1 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG