Our Lady of the Lake Saints
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 989 (#457) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.8 (#563) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.9 (#483) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.454 (#450) | AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 70.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.288 (#477) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.315 (#481) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 790 (#622) | RD 350 | GP 2 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-01 | @ | Incarnate Word Cardinals | L | 66 - 93 |
| 2021-12-05 | @ | Lamar Cardinals | L | 64 - 67 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E. Jones
|
G | 2 | 29.0 | 17.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 20.5 | 153 | 6.7 | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.26 | 0 | 0 |
J. Anderson
|
- | 2 | 33.5 | 16.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 15.5 | -98 | -5.4 | -9.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.63 | 0 | 0 |
J. Embrey
|
- | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
R. Monzon
|
F | 2 | 30.5 | 9.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0 | 0 |
T. Law
|
SG | 2 | 16.5 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 0 | 0 |
G. Darwiche
|
PG | 2 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.19 | 0 | 0 |
K. Warren
|
- | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
X. Purnell
|
- | 2 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Cook
|
- | 2 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -17 | -0.7 | -4.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0 | 0 |
D. Johnson
|
- | 2 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -46 | -1.6 | -4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 |
L. Jones
|
- | 2 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 157 | 4.8 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.82 | 0 | 0 |
O. Maldonado
|
SG | 2 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Sanchez
|
F | 2 | 14.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 |
J. Gaines
|
C | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
M. Williams
|
G | 2 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -83 | -9.2 | -51.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG