Ouachita Baptist
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1042 (#144) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1097 (#95) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1071 (#102) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.5 (#55) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +19.4 (#95) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.434 (#387) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.484 (#283) | NetEff -0.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.853 (#245) | AdjNet +15.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.869 (#241) | AdjNet +16.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.719 (#238) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 61.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.701 (#84) | AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 62.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.776 (#120) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.773 (#112) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1161 (#66) | RD 100 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Grambling | L | 45 - 93 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Northeastern St. | L | 58 - 74 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Mississippi Col. | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Missouri Western | W | 78 - 70 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | W | 80 - 76 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | East Central | W | 76 - 52 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Southeastern Okla. | W | 82 - 74 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | W | 87 - 60 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Southern Ark. | L | 50 - 58 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Arkansas Tech | L | 71 - 99 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Southwestern Okla. | W | 67 - 60 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Okla. Baptist | W | 83 - 64 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Southern Nazarene | L | 83 - 84 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Henderson St. | W | 89 - 56 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Southeastern Okla. | L | 59 - 73 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | East Central | L | 64 - 70 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Southwestern Okla. | W | 79 - 47 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Northwestern Okla. | W | 75 - 62 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Tipton | - | 18 | 28.5 | 14.7 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 10.5 | 10.3 | 53 | 2.8 | 12.3 | 39.7 | 30.8 | 86.1 | 0.48 | 56.8 | 47.1 |
| Heidi Robinson | - | 18 | 27.5 | 13.6 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 10.9 | 7.4 | 80 | 4.2 | 18.0 | 40.8 | 42.1 | 93.0 | 1.76 | 57.0 | 52.3 |
| Abbey Harrison | - | 17 | 23.8 | 11.6 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 7.4 | 10.8 | 58 | 3.1 | 16.8 | 56.8 | 0 | 75.7 | 2.99 | 62.8 | 56.8 |
| Audri Winfrey | - | 18 | 27.3 | 7.8 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 6.9 | 7.2 | 57 | 3.0 | 13.4 | 35.2 | 32.6 | 79.3 | 0.77 | 50.8 | 46.8 |
| Samantha Watson | - | 18 | 22.6 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 4.9 | -30 | -1.6 | -9.2 | 43.2 | 30.0 | 68.4 | -1.13 | 54.8 | 48.3 |
| Makayla Vation | - | 17 | 12.6 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 20 | 1.1 | 9.6 | 37.5 | 22.2 | 78.6 | 1.7 | 48.5 | 40.6 |
| Kayden Porter | - | 18 | 20.9 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 97 | 5.1 | 28.3 | 34.2 | 31.8 | 60.0 | 1.91 | 44.4 | 43.0 |
| Brooke Smith | - | 16 | 12.4 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 39 | 2.3 | 30.6 | 48.1 | 33.3 | 64.7 | 0.17 | 52.1 | 49.0 |
| Bree Hubbard | - | 18 | 12.7 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 7 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 42.1 | 26.7 | 55.6 | -1.46 | 48.6 | 45.6 |
| Ruby Trammell | - | 18 | 14.4 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 21 | 1.1 | 13.1 | 24.1 | 22.0 | 70.6 | 0.72 | 38.2 | 32.4 |
| Austyn Oholendt | - | 7 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 12 | 2.0 | 48.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 1.04 | 60.8 | 50.0 |
| Aubrey Henderson | - | 7 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 | -1.6 | 12 | 2.0 | 48.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.04 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG