Ouachita Baptist
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1046 (#144) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1125 (#83) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1071 (#102) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.3 (#58) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +19.4 (#95) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.434 (#387) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.484 (#283) | NetEff -0.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.853 (#245) | AdjNet +15.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.869 (#241) | AdjNet +16.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.719 (#238) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 61.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.701 (#84) | AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 62.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.776 (#120) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.773 (#112) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1170 (#62) | RD 100 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Grambling | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Northeastern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Mississippi Col. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Missouri Western | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | East Central | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Southeastern Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Southern Ark. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Arkansas Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Southwestern Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Okla. Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Southern Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Henderson St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Southeastern Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | East Central | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Southwestern Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Northwestern Okla. | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeleine Tipton | - | 17 | 28.8 | 15.1 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 53 | 2.8 | 12.3 | 39.8 | 31.4 | 86.7 | 1.65 | 57.1 | 47.2 |
| Heidi Robinson | - | 17 | 27.8 | 14.1 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 11.1 | 8.1 | 80 | 4.2 | 18.0 | 41.8 | 42.7 | 92.7 | 1.92 | 58.0 | 53.4 |
| Abbey Harrison | - | 17 | 23.8 | 11.6 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 7.4 | 10.8 | 58 | 3.1 | 16.8 | 56.8 | 0 | 75.7 | 1.59 | 62.8 | 56.8 |
| Audri Winfrey | - | 17 | 27.4 | 7.8 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 6.6 | 7.6 | 57 | 3.0 | 13.4 | 37.2 | 34.6 | 84.0 | 0.4 | 53.6 | 49.6 |
| Samantha Watson | - | 17 | 22.7 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.9 | 5.1 | -30 | -1.6 | -9.2 | 42.9 | 29.6 | 67.9 | -3.41 | 54.3 | 47.6 |
| Kayden Porter | - | 17 | 21.0 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 97 | 5.1 | 28.3 | 35.5 | 34.1 | 75.0 | 3.66 | 46.5 | 44.7 |
| Brooke Smith | - | 15 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 39 | 2.3 | 30.6 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 73.3 | 0.83 | 54.8 | 51.0 |
| Makayla Vation | - | 16 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 20 | 1.1 | 9.6 | 36.8 | 22.2 | 78.3 | 1.33 | 47.7 | 40.4 |
| Bree Hubbard | - | 17 | 12.2 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 7 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 42.6 | 26.7 | 56.0 | -0.13 | 49.2 | 46.3 |
| Ruby Trammell | - | 17 | 14.0 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 21 | 1.1 | 13.1 | 23.5 | 21.1 | 70.6 | 2.08 | 37.6 | 31.4 |
| Austyn Oholendt | - | 6 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 12 | 2.0 | 48.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.48 | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Aubrey Henderson | - | 6 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | -1.2 | 12 | 2.0 | 48.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.48 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG