Ouachita Baptist
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1151 (#18) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1223 (#26) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1230 (#5) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +19.2 (#21) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +20.3 (#56) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.735 (#192) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.641 (#243) | NetEff +5.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.869 (#175) | AdjNet +16.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.854 (#194) | AdjNet +15.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.739 (#194) | AdjO 79.2 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.789 (#24) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 62.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.883 (#17) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.876 (#17) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1314 (#9) | RD 105 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Rogers St. | W | 64 - 54 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Ark.-Fort Smith | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Dallas Christian | W | 106 - 66 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Ecclesia | W | 100 - 47 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Champion Chris. | W | 108 - 58 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Delta St. | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | East Central | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Southeastern Okla. | W | 69 - 52 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | W | 68 - 55 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Harding | W | 66 - 55 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Southern Ark. | W | 66 - 51 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Arkansas Tech | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Northwestern Okla. | W | 78 - 63 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Southwestern Okla. | W | 61 - 56 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Okla. Baptist | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Southern Nazarene | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Henderson St. | W | 90 - 60 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Southeastern Okla. | W | 75 - 63 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | East Central | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Southwestern Okla. | W | 78 - 59 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Northwestern Okla. | W | 81 - 73 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Hancock | - | 21 | 29.5 | 17.4 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 12.6 | 9.8 | 130 | 6.5 | 99.0 | 44.9 | 39.3 | 87.1 | 2.59 | 59.7 | 53.6 |
| Crew Flowers | - | 21 | 28.3 | 11.2 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 7.8 | 8.3 | 46 | 2.3 | 29.3 | 48.8 | 35.4 | 80.0 | -0.6 | 62.0 | 57.3 |
| PJ Neal | - | 21 | 27.8 | 10.1 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 9.0 | 79 | 3.8 | 55.5 | 49.3 | 35.7 | 70.0 | 1.81 | 57.9 | 51.1 |
| Jaxon Conley | - | 20 | 25.3 | 9.7 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 8.4 | 10.3 | 84 | 4.4 | 77.2 | 39.3 | 25.9 | 79.7 | 1.31 | 49.8 | 43.5 |
| Christian Parks | - | 21 | 27.2 | 8.8 | 7.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 5.3 | 12.7 | - | - | - | 70.3 | 8.3 | 64.3 | - | 71.1 | 70.7 |
| Trey Smith | - | 21 | 14.8 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 135 | 7.1 | 88.3 | 47.3 | 58.1 | 47.4 | 1.01 | 56.7 | 57.0 |
| Ryder McConnell | - | 21 | 11.2 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 133 | 6.7 | 81.5 | 38.4 | 36.4 | 100.0 | -0.37 | 55.6 | 52.1 |
| Gavin Snyder | - | 21 | 21.0 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 158 | 8.3 | 82.0 | 27.1 | 24.6 | 73.1 | 1.45 | 40.5 | 35.4 |
| Jaden Webb | - | 21 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 23 | 1.2 | 15.4 | 53.1 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.95 | 50.0 | 53.1 |
| Lucci Thomas | - | 12 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 5 | 0.5 | 49.4 | 52.4 | 57.1 | 42.9 | 0.27 | 60.2 | 61.9 |
| Reid Smith | - | 5 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 2.8 | -3 | -0.6 | -24.1 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.5 | 57.1 | 42.9 |
| Kade Caldwell | - | 5 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 5 | 1.0 | 36.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.53 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Tyler Bell | - | 6 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 34 | 2.1 | 39.2 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.7 | 43.6 | 41.7 |
| Taylor Crum | - | 5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.6 | 24.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Andre Johnson Jr. | - | 1 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 208 | 9.5 | 41.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3.69 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG