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Ouachita Baptist

Also known as: Ouachita Baptist
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1151 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1223 (#26) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1230 (#5) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +19.2 (#21) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +20.3 (#56) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.735 (#192) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.1 More → 0.641 (#243) NetEff +5.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.4 More → 0.869 (#175) AdjNet +16.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.2 More → 0.854 (#194) AdjNet +15.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.2 | AdjD 67.8 More → 0.739 (#194) AdjO 79.2 | AdjD 67.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 62.1 More → 0.789 (#24) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 62.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.883 (#17) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.876 (#17) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 21 More → 1314 (#9) RD 105 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Rogers St. W 64 - 54
2025-11-15 @ Ark.-Fort Smith L 70 - 73
2025-11-18 vs Dallas Christian W 106 - 66
2025-11-22 vs Ecclesia W 100 - 47
2025-11-25 vs Champion Chris. W 108 - 58
2025-11-29 @ Delta St. L 68 - 75
2025-12-04 vs East Central W 69 - 63
2025-12-06 vs Southeastern Okla. W 69 - 52
2025-12-13 vs Ark.-Monticello W 68 - 55
2025-12-18 vs Harding W 66 - 55
2025-12-20 @ Southern Ark. W 66 - 51
2026-01-03 @ Arkansas Tech W 61 - 55
2026-01-08 @ Northwestern Okla. W 78 - 63
2026-01-10 @ Southwestern Okla. W 61 - 56
2026-01-15 vs Okla. Baptist L 63 - 67
2026-01-17 vs Southern Nazarene W 83 - 75
2026-01-22 vs Henderson St. W 90 - 60
2026-01-29 @ Southeastern Okla. W 75 - 63
2026-01-31 @ East Central W 67 - 55
2026-02-05 vs Southwestern Okla. W 78 - 59
2026-02-07 vs Northwestern Okla. W 81 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Devon Hancock - 21 29.5 17.4 4.6 1.8 0.9 0.0 2.3 12.6 9.8 130 6.5 99.0 44.9 39.3 87.1 2.59 59.7 53.6
Crew Flowers - 21 28.3 11.2 3.6 1.2 1.4 0.3 1.6 7.8 8.3 46 2.3 29.3 48.8 35.4 80.0 -0.6 62.0 57.3
PJ Neal - 21 27.8 10.1 2.5 3.6 1.3 0.0 2.0 6.7 9.0 79 3.8 55.5 49.3 35.7 70.0 1.81 57.9 51.1
Jaxon Conley - 20 25.3 9.7 5.8 1.6 2.5 0.5 1.2 8.4 10.3 84 4.4 77.2 39.3 25.9 79.7 1.31 49.8 43.5
Christian Parks - 21 27.2 8.8 7.0 0.2 0.6 2.7 1.2 5.3 12.7 - - - 70.3 8.3 64.3 - 71.1 70.7
Trey Smith - 21 14.8 5.5 3.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.8 4.4 4.7 135 7.1 88.3 47.3 58.1 47.4 1.01 56.7 57.0
Ryder McConnell - 21 11.2 4.1 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 3.5 1.7 133 6.7 81.5 38.4 36.4 100.0 -0.37 55.6 52.1
Gavin Snyder - 21 21.0 4.1 3.0 2.6 1.0 0.2 1.6 4.6 4.8 158 8.3 82.0 27.1 24.6 73.1 1.45 40.5 35.4
Jaden Webb - 21 9.3 2.7 2.5 0.2 0.1 1.0 0.5 2.3 3.6 23 1.2 15.4 53.1 0 25.0 0.95 50.0 53.1
Lucci Thomas - 12 5.7 2.4 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.8 2.0 5 0.5 49.4 52.4 57.1 42.9 0.27 60.2 61.9
Reid Smith - 5 4.4 2.2 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.8 -3 -0.6 -24.1 42.9 0.0 83.3 -0.5 57.1 42.9
Kade Caldwell - 5 3.7 2.0 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.2 5 1.0 36.4 50.0 0.0 0 -0.53 50.0 50.0
Tyler Bell - 6 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.5 34 2.1 39.2 33.3 25.0 50.0 -0.7 43.6 41.7
Taylor Crum - 5 3.0 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.0 3 0.6 24.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.5 0.0 0.0
Andre Johnson Jr. - 1 3.8 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 208 9.5 41.3 0.0 0 0 3.69 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG