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Otterbein

Also known as: Otterbein
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1066 (#113) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1247 (#33) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1187 (#31) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +24.1 (#18) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +17.9 (#132) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.604 (#404) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +20.8 More → 0.948 (#130) NetEff +20.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.5 More → 0.825 (#256) AdjNet +13.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.2 More → 0.825 (#257) AdjNet +13.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 56.8 More → 0.671 (#260) AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 56.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 47.5 More → 0.824 (#45) AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 47.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.883 (#74) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.882 (#70) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 21 More → 1264 (#37) RD 103 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Anderson (IN) W 81 - 60
2025-11-10 @ Ohio Wesleyan L 62 - 72
2025-11-14 vs La Roche W 80 - 54
2025-11-21 @ Alma L 46 - 54
2025-11-22 @ Adrian W 68 - 57
2025-12-02 @ Carnegie Mellon W 51 - 47
2025-12-13 vs Heidelberg W 92 - 40
2025-12-17 @ Marietta W 64 - 44
2025-12-29 vs Wash. & Jeff. W 52 - 43
2025-12-30 vs Mount Aloysius W 69 - 32
2026-01-10 vs Capital W 74 - 54
2026-01-14 @ Ohio Northern W 77 - 43
2026-01-17 @ Muskingum W 85 - 54
2026-01-21 vs Wilmington (OH) W 74 - 42
2026-01-28 @ Baldwin Wallace L 52 - 67
2026-01-31 vs Mount Union W 64 - 53
2026-02-04 vs Marietta W 71 - 66
2026-02-07 @ Heidelberg W 59 - 26

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mattie Walburn - 18 22.7 11.1 2.9 1.1 0.9 0.3 1.2 11.2 4.0 79 3.8 19.8 40.8 0.0 85.7 -1.68 45.6 40.8
Kyla Irby - 18 24.5 10.8 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.2 10.2 2.6 20 1.0 5.2 31.7 31.4 81.2 -0.55 45.5 37.7
Cameron Sparks - 18 21.1 9.2 9.0 1.0 0.8 0.2 1.8 7.6 10.8 126 6.0 36.4 46.3 0 76.5 2.13 52.1 46.3
Kiara Hudgins - 18 29.0 8.3 3.1 3.4 1.8 0.3 1.9 9.6 5.3 102 4.9 26.6 32.9 16.1 69.8 1.44 38.8 34.4
Abby Rawlings - 18 26.6 7.8 2.3 3.1 1.7 0.2 1.4 7.1 6.6 146 7.0 36.6 37.0 33.8 80.0 3.66 49.9 45.7
Nicole Terry - 18 13.8 4.9 3.0 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.8 3.8 4.7 -3 -0.1 -1.7 38.2 0.0 76.6 0.19 49.6 38.2
Kadence Conley - 15 11.6 4.7 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.8 52 3.2 35.4 57.1 58.8 75.0 1.65 71.4 69.0
Anna Waskiewicz - 18 16.8 4.3 5.2 1.0 1.6 0.2 1.3 3.7 7.3 106 5.0 46.2 52.2 25.0 35.7 2.87 52.6 53.7
Madilyn Stechschulte - 17 17.0 2.8 5.8 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.7 3.2 6.4 55 2.8 20.7 34.5 22.2 38.1 0.88 37.4 36.4
Kate Mosher - 18 10.7 2.8 2.4 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.9 91 4.3 66.6 48.6 0.0 61.5 -0.08 53.8 48.6
Abby Dickson - 10 4.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 2.1 -0.6 3 0.3 9.9 28.6 18.8 0 -1.54 35.7 35.7
Ella Nagel - 7 6.4 1.4 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.3 4 0.6 6.8 33.3 0 66.7 -1.71 43.0 33.3
Ally Carr - 10 3.4 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 31 3.1 215.0 57.1 66.7 75.0 -0.44 74.2 71.4
Alexa Nisonger - 10 2.6 0.2 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 25 2.5 185.2 25.0 0 0.0 -0.73 20.5 25.0
JuJu Grubich - 1 8.1 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Emma Crow - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -18 -3.0 -10.4 0 0 0 -2.02 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG