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Otterbein

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Otterbein
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1187 (#33) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1263 (#19) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1166 (#38) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +9.8 (#22) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +3.8 (#294) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.736 (#326) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.3 More → 0.698 (#275) AdjNet +7.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.1 More → 0.695 (#276) AdjNet +7.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 67.8 More → 0.613 (#279) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 67.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 68.2 More → 0.654 (#144) AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 68.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.726 (#176) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.727 (#166) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 21 More → 1270 (#22) RD 105 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Wittenberg W 70 - 52
2025-11-13 vs Mt. St. Joseph W 78 - 52
2025-11-18 vs La Roche W 83 - 70
2025-11-21 vs SUNY Brockport W 87 - 73
2025-11-22 @ SUNY Geneseo W 83 - 72
2025-11-25 vs Denison L 68 - 72
2025-12-06 @ Mount Union L 63 - 75
2025-12-13 vs Heidelberg W 71 - 60
2025-12-16 vs Marietta W 74 - 61
2025-12-20 vs Ohio Wesleyan W 77 - 54
2025-12-29 vs Allegheny W 88 - 51
2025-12-30 vs Westminster (PA) W 70 - 61
2026-01-07 @ Baldwin Wallace W 70 - 58
2026-01-10 vs Capital W 85 - 74
2026-01-14 vs Ohio Northern W 74 - 66
2026-01-17 @ Muskingum W 78 - 62
2026-01-21 @ Wilmington (OH) W 84 - 74
2026-01-28 vs Baldwin Wallace W 86 - 70
2026-01-31 vs Mount Union L 69 - 74
2026-02-04 @ Marietta W 87 - 81
2026-02-07 @ Heidelberg W 85 - 83

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Julian Heckman - 21 34.1 13.3 4.8 5.4 2.9 0.3 1.9 10.0 14.9 100 4.8 23.0 45.5 31.6 77.6 0.19 57.7 52.9
Jarius Jones - 20 19.7 12.6 4.8 1.9 1.2 0.1 1.2 9.4 9.9 140 7.0 50.0 47.6 38.5 70.5 1.45 55.3 50.3
Troy Scowden - 21 19.2 9.9 4.1 1.0 0.6 0.5 1.1 6.5 8.5 67 3.4 24.9 62.0 0.0 61.3 0.97 63.3 62.0
Dominic Theado - 21 19.4 9.6 5.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 1.1 7.9 7.7 33 1.6 14.1 47.6 27.7 68.2 3.42 54.2 51.5
Chase Garito - 21 19.6 9.5 3.9 1.4 0.3 0.9 1.2 8.0 6.8 32 1.5 15.4 48.5 23.3 70.7 -1.57 53.5 50.6
Micah Germany - 21 26.3 9.0 2.7 1.2 0.8 0.3 1.2 7.5 5.3 97 4.8 38.6 42.4 37.9 90.0 0.6 58.5 57.3
Carter Piatt-Brown - 21 27.4 5.5 4.7 2.6 0.9 0.5 1.2 4.1 8.9 19 0.9 6.1 44.2 38.6 85.2 -3.47 59.3 54.1
Noah Gamble - 20 10.4 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.1 -2 -0.1 -2.7 43.5 30.8 77.8 -2.39 50.7 46.4
Reece Huber - 15 18.0 3.1 2.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.6 3.3 4.3 18 1.3 8.0 34.0 21.1 69.2 0.03 42.2 38.0
Landon Johnson - 3 1.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.0 12 0.9 9.5 50.0 100.0 100.0 -0.42 93.1 75.0
Mike Steel - 9 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 -3 -0.3 -38.9 83.3 0 50.0 -0.38 77.3 83.3
Mason Stuck - 16 7.0 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.6 0.6 14 0.9 38.1 24.0 25.0 100.0 -2.07 36.7 34.0
Noah Knostman - 9 2.6 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.7 1 0.1 13.0 66.7 0 100.0 -0.38 88.7 66.7
Michael Lewis - 9 3.4 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.9 -46 -2.9 -12.6 28.6 0.0 50.0 2.06 34.2 28.6
Kyle Niehaus - 12 4.0 0.3 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.4 -11 -0.9 -28.4 20.0 0.0 0 -0.66 20.0 20.0
Andrew Cleaver - 4 2.1 0.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Andrew Banaszak - 1 2.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bryan Flannery - 4 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -0.8 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.04 0.0 0.0
Kaden Haywood - 2 1.6 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG