Ottawa (AZ) Spirit
Also known as: Ottawa University Arizona Spirit
Program History
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1001 (#189) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.0 (#497) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.1 (#367) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.479 (#326) | AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.482 (#329) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.477 (#320) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1028 (#197) | RD 350 | GP 2 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-12 | @ | Denver Pioneers | W | 72 - 71 |
| 2021-12-11 | @ | Grand Canyon Lopes | L | 53 - 81 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Hitt
|
- | 2 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 |
K. Malbrough
|
- | 2 | 21.0 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.18 | 0 | 0 |
D. Collins
|
- | 2 | 21.5 | 9.5 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 14.5 | 135 | 4.1 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.43 | 0 | 0 |
J. Catchings
|
- | 2 | 18.0 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.19 | 0 | 0 |
K. Bruner
|
- | 2 | 26.5 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 0 | 0 |
J. De'Lacerda
|
- | 2 | 24.5 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | 0 | 0 |
Q. Guliford
|
- | 1 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
M. Bundy
|
- | 2 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0 | 0 |
E. Spry
|
F | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
E. Simmons
|
- | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
M. Williams
|
- | 2 | 27.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -83 | -9.2 | -51.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 |
R. Gerdes
|
F | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Johnson
|
- | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -43 | -8.6 | -31.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.56 | 0 | 0 |
Z. Aird
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
A. Schloeman
|
- | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Wunnenberg
|
- | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG