🐻⬇️🏀

Oswego St.

Also known as: Oswego St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1039 (#148) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 987 (#339) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 991 (#486) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -0.8 (#203) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -1.2 (#387) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.605 (#402) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.7 More → 0.562 (#340) NetEff +1.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.5 More → 0.429 (#400) AdjNet -2.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.1 More → 0.410 (#404) AdjNet -3.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 61.9 More → 0.453 (#400) AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 61.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 58.2 More → 0.569 (#272) AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 58.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.507 (#374) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.516 (#367) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 20 More → 989 (#325) RD 104 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-11 vs St. Lawrence L 58 - 65
2025-11-14 vs St. John Fisher W 78 - 70
2025-11-15 @ Hamilton L 62 - 79
2025-11-25 @ Amherst L 44 - 61
2025-11-30 @ Middlebury L 40 - 50
2025-12-13 @ SUNY Poly W 70 - 33
2026-01-10 vs Plattsburgh St. W 76 - 70
2026-01-13 @ SUNY Oneonta L 49 - 60
2026-01-16 vs SUNY Canton L 57 - 59
2026-01-20 vs SUNY Oneonta W 64 - 52
2026-01-23 @ Buffalo St. W 70 - 51
2026-01-24 @ Fredonia L 67 - 70
2026-01-30 @ Plattsburgh St. L 64 - 76
2026-01-31 @ SUNY Potsdam W 60 - 39
2026-02-03 vs SUNY New Paltz L 50 - 61
2026-02-06 @ SUNY Canton W 65 - 58

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Giavanna White-Principio - 15 34.1 16.3 14.2 0.8 0.8 2.1 1.7 13.0 19.6 65 3.6 11.0 48.2 23.1 73.0 3.18 53.8 49.0
Zhane Holmes - 16 22.6 9.6 3.8 2.2 2.1 0.2 2.0 11.4 4.6 65 3.6 18.2 32.2 27.5 68.0 2.58 39.7 37.4
Bri Weaver - 16 21.1 9.1 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 2.4 9.4 1.4 -17 -1.0 -4.2 38.7 27.4 70.6 -1.69 46.0 44.3
Giavanna White-Princ - 1 38.0 9.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 13.0 - - - 40.0 0 50.0 - 47.9 40.0
Sydney Hoefs - 16 29.6 7.0 5.2 3.8 2.1 0.2 2.4 8.4 7.5 -44 -2.6 -10.3 26.7 28.6 76.5 0.92 37.3 31.9
Sarah Hirschler - 16 18.7 6.1 2.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 1.4 8.2 1.0 55 3.1 20.4 24.4 20.5 75.8 2.35 33.3 27.5
Madison Guillory - 16 17.3 3.1 2.2 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.7 4 0.2 1.5 42.9 0.0 73.7 0.26 49.6 42.9
Semaiah Williams - 10 17.7 3.1 6.6 0.6 0.5 1.0 1.0 5.1 5.7 30 2.5 14.0 25.5 13.3 75.0 -1.02 29.4 27.5
Jena Russo - 6 4.6 2.8 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.7 2.5 1.8 6 0.9 13.1 46.7 22.2 50.0 -0.72 53.5 53.3
Juliette Huguet - 14 7.5 2.0 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.2 2.1 1.1 48 3.2 43.9 34.5 33.3 50.0 -0.12 40.8 37.9
Jazmyn Lewis - 15 13.1 1.9 2.9 1.3 1.3 0.2 1.6 2.2 3.7 -36 -2.1 -20.7 27.3 29.4 85.7 -1.64 40.2 34.8
Madison Aikens - 14 9.9 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.6 1.8 1.9 25 1.7 16.1 40.0 28.6 30.0 1.87 42.5 44.0
Madison McEvoy - 3 5.2 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.3 -5 -1.2 -20.5 16.7 16.7 50.0 -1.24 32.2 25.0
Delaney Wiley - 10 9.8 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.1 0.1 -23 -2.3 -28.8 9.5 9.1 87.5 -0.71 24.5 11.9
Kayla McCraith - 4 3.9 1.2 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.0 -7 -1.4 -28.7 25.0 0 50.0 -1.24 28.2 25.0
Quinn Pence - 7 10.8 1.0 1.4 0.4 0.7 0.0 1.1 2.0 0.4 10 1.2 6.1 14.3 0.0 75.0 1.13 22.2 14.3
Jazzmyn Lewis - 1 11.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 106 7.1 28.8 0.0 0.0 25.0 2.91 18.1 0.0
Mollie James - 5 6.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.6 -10 -1.7 -14.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 -1.37 9.2 10.0
Emily Hayden - 2 4.8 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 -7 -2.3 -28.7 0.0 0 0 -1.24 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG