Oswego St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1039 (#148) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 987 (#339) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 991 (#486) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.8 (#203) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.2 (#387) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.605 (#402) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.562 (#340) | NetEff +1.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.429 (#400) | AdjNet -2.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.410 (#404) | AdjNet -3.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.453 (#400) | AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 61.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.569 (#272) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 58.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.507 (#374) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.516 (#367) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 989 (#325) | RD 104 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | vs | St. Lawrence | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | St. John Fisher | W | 78 - 70 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Hamilton | L | 62 - 79 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Amherst | L | 44 - 61 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Middlebury | L | 40 - 50 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | SUNY Poly | W | 70 - 33 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Plattsburgh St. | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | SUNY Oneonta | L | 49 - 60 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | SUNY Canton | L | 57 - 59 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | SUNY Oneonta | W | 64 - 52 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Buffalo St. | W | 70 - 51 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Fredonia | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Plattsburgh St. | L | 64 - 76 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | SUNY Potsdam | W | 60 - 39 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | SUNY New Paltz | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | SUNY Canton | W | 65 - 58 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giavanna White-Principio | - | 15 | 34.1 | 16.3 | 14.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 13.0 | 19.6 | 65 | 3.6 | 11.0 | 48.2 | 23.1 | 73.0 | 3.18 | 53.8 | 49.0 |
| Zhane Holmes | - | 16 | 22.6 | 9.6 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 11.4 | 4.6 | 65 | 3.6 | 18.2 | 32.2 | 27.5 | 68.0 | 2.58 | 39.7 | 37.4 |
| Bri Weaver | - | 16 | 21.1 | 9.1 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 9.4 | 1.4 | -17 | -1.0 | -4.2 | 38.7 | 27.4 | 70.6 | -1.69 | 46.0 | 44.3 |
| Giavanna White-Princ | - | 1 | 38.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 47.9 | 40.0 |
| Sydney Hoefs | - | 16 | 29.6 | 7.0 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 8.4 | 7.5 | -44 | -2.6 | -10.3 | 26.7 | 28.6 | 76.5 | 0.92 | 37.3 | 31.9 |
| Sarah Hirschler | - | 16 | 18.7 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 8.2 | 1.0 | 55 | 3.1 | 20.4 | 24.4 | 20.5 | 75.8 | 2.35 | 33.3 | 27.5 |
| Madison Guillory | - | 16 | 17.3 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 73.7 | 0.26 | 49.6 | 42.9 |
| Semaiah Williams | - | 10 | 17.7 | 3.1 | 6.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.1 | 5.7 | 30 | 2.5 | 14.0 | 25.5 | 13.3 | 75.0 | -1.02 | 29.4 | 27.5 |
| Jena Russo | - | 6 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 6 | 0.9 | 13.1 | 46.7 | 22.2 | 50.0 | -0.72 | 53.5 | 53.3 |
| Juliette Huguet | - | 14 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 48 | 3.2 | 43.9 | 34.5 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.12 | 40.8 | 37.9 |
| Jazmyn Lewis | - | 15 | 13.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 3.7 | -36 | -2.1 | -20.7 | 27.3 | 29.4 | 85.7 | -1.64 | 40.2 | 34.8 |
| Madison Aikens | - | 14 | 9.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 25 | 1.7 | 16.1 | 40.0 | 28.6 | 30.0 | 1.87 | 42.5 | 44.0 |
| Madison McEvoy | - | 3 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | -5 | -1.2 | -20.5 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -1.24 | 32.2 | 25.0 |
| Delaney Wiley | - | 10 | 9.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0.1 | -23 | -2.3 | -28.8 | 9.5 | 9.1 | 87.5 | -0.71 | 24.5 | 11.9 |
| Kayla McCraith | - | 4 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -7 | -1.4 | -28.7 | 25.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.24 | 28.2 | 25.0 |
| Quinn Pence | - | 7 | 10.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 10 | 1.2 | 6.1 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 1.13 | 22.2 | 14.3 |
| Jazzmyn Lewis | - | 1 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 106 | 7.1 | 28.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 2.91 | 18.1 | 0.0 |
| Mollie James | - | 5 | 6.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1.6 | -10 | -1.7 | -14.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.37 | 9.2 | 10.0 |
| Emily Hayden | - | 2 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -7 | -2.3 | -28.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.24 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG