Oregon State Beavers
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1017 (#152) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1001 (#157) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 946 (#235) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.4 (#115) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.0 (#112) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.417 (#209) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.637 (#117) | AdjNet +4.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.639 (#116) | AdjNet +5.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.555 (#126) | AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 64.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.481 (#179) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.530 (#151) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.515 (#153) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 990 (#161) | RD 135 | GP 27 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-23 | vs | Idaho | L | 73 - 76 |
| 2002-12-02 | vs | Cal Poly | W | 81 - 60 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ | Portland | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2002-12-14 | @ | Sacramento State | W | 62 - 49 |
| 2002-12-17 | vs | Portland State | W | 53 - 50 |
| 2002-12-20 | @ | Purdue Fort Wayne | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2002-12-22 | @ | Kansas State | L | 72 - 90 |
| 2002-12-28 | vs | Coppin State | W | 59 - 53 |
| 2003-01-02 | vs | Arizona State | L | 47 - 67 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Arizona | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2003-01-09 | @ | Stanford | L | 54 - 57 |
| 2003-01-11 | @ | California | L | 73 - 78 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | Oregon | L | 68 - 79 |
| 2003-01-23 | vs | Washington State | W | 63 - 48 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | Washington | W | 82 - 62 |
| 2003-01-30 | @ | Southern California | W | 83 - 74 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ | UCLA | W | 83 - 79 |
| 2003-02-06 | vs | California | L | 71 - 84 |
| 2003-02-09 | vs | Stanford | L | 73 - 84 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | Oregon | L | 63 - 80 |
| 2003-02-20 | @ | Washington | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Washington State | L | 71 - 75 |
| 2003-02-27 | vs | UCLA | L | 66 - 69 |
| 2003-03-01 | vs | Southern California | W | 61 - 60 |
| 2003-03-06 | @ | Arizona | L | 60 - 72 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ | Arizona State | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2003-03-13 | N | California | L | 46 - 69 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.