Oregon State Beavers
Model Outputs
1995-1996
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 884 (#209) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 842 (#252) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 842 (#295) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.4 (#178) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.0 (#182) | HCA +3.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.105 (#296) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.332 (#201) | AdjNet -6.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.332 (#201) | AdjNet -6.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.427 (#192) | AdjO 57.0 | AdjD 60.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.364 (#251) | AdjO 56.7 | AdjD 62.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.327 (#236) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.315 (#240) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 841 (#249) | RD 137 | GP 26 |
1996 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995-11-25 | N | Santa Clara | L | 45 - 50 |
| 1995-11-30 | @ | Portland | L | 50 - 61 |
| 1995-12-02 | vs | UC Irvine | W | 64 - 57 |
| 1995-12-09 | vs | Long Beach State | L | 54 - 65 |
| 1995-12-16 | @ | Texas | L | 54 - 83 |
| 1995-12-18 | @ | New Orleans | W | 68 - 61 |
| 1995-12-29 | N | Mississippi State | L | 62 - 76 |
| 1995-12-30 | N | Oregon | L | 50 - 75 |
| 1996-01-07 | @ | Oregon | L | 59 - 70 |
| 1996-01-11 | vs | Washington | W | 63 - 55 |
| 1996-01-13 | vs | Washington State | L | 62 - 76 |
| 1996-01-18 | @ | California | L | 52 - 70 |
| 1996-01-20 | @ | Stanford | L | 51 - 84 |
| 1996-01-25 | vs | Arizona | L | 59 - 66 |
| 1996-01-27 | vs | Arizona State | L | 75 - 93 |
| 1996-02-01 | @ | Southern California | L | 47 - 64 |
| 1996-02-03 | @ | UCLA | L | 60 - 69 |
| 1996-02-08 | @ | Washington State | L | 42 - 61 |
| 1996-02-10 | @ | Washington | L | 40 - 50 |
| 1996-02-15 | vs | Stanford | L | 50 - 65 |
| 1996-02-17 | vs | California | L | 51 - 57 |
| 1996-02-22 | @ | Arizona State | L | 58 - 63 |
| 1996-02-24 | @ | Arizona | L | 60 - 84 |
| 1996-02-29 | vs | UCLA | L | 66 - 68 |
| 1996-03-02 | vs | Southern California | W | 56 - 54 |
| 1996-03-09 | vs | Oregon | L | 46 - 62 |
1996 Roster
No roster data available for this season.