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Olivet

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Olivet
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 811 (#469) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 775 (#545) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 796 (#694) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -10.2 (#291) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -13.9 (#542) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.065 (#655) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -23.1 More → 0.036 (#532) NetEff -23.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.3 More → 0.120 (#534) AdjNet -17.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.4 More → 0.113 (#532) AdjNet -17.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.259 (#535) AdjO 56.8 | AdjD 68.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.2 | AdjD 67.7 More → 0.227 (#647) AdjO 54.2 | AdjD 67.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.148 (#634) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.153 (#638) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 108 | GP 21 More → 715 (#533) RD 108 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Bluffton L 75 - 77
2025-11-12 vs North Park W 49 - 48
2025-11-21 vs Kenyon L 59 - 62
2025-11-25 vs Denison L 51 - 85
2025-12-03 vs Adrian L 42 - 82
2025-12-06 @ Albion L 63 - 97
2025-12-13 vs Trine L 45 - 82
2025-12-20 @ Hanover L 51 - 70
2025-12-21 vs Wis.-Platteville L 43 - 67
2025-12-29 @ Transylvania L 45 - 61
2025-12-30 vs Worcester St. W 66 - 47
2026-01-03 vs Alma L 53 - 68
2026-01-07 @ St. Mary's (IN) L 67 - 76
2026-01-10 @ Hope L 43 - 104
2026-01-14 @ Wheaton (IL) L 48 - 67
2026-01-17 @ Kalamazoo L 45 - 55
2026-01-24 @ Trine L 39 - 92
2026-01-28 vs Calvin L 41 - 82
2026-01-31 vs Kalamazoo L 51 - 61
2026-02-04 @ Alma L 55 - 72
2026-02-07 vs Albion L 59 - 70

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kinsley Hatfield - 21 26.9 10.9 4.3 0.7 1.0 0.3 1.5 10.4 5.3 -83 -5.2 -27.9 38.8 31.5 72.0 -2.06 47.5 44.1
Christina Malackanich - 3 25.1 10.7 4.3 1.7 0.7 0.7 2.0 9.0 7.0 -7 -3.5 -6.4 48.1 25.0 66.7 1.71 54.0 51.9
Ava Lord - 21 27.9 9.4 3.7 2.6 1.4 0.5 5.0 10.3 2.3 -95 -5.9 -39.1 35.0 24.5 68.8 -4.08 41.6 38.0
Kaylee Bush - 19 24.3 7.7 3.7 1.1 0.5 0.2 2.8 7.4 2.9 -84 -6.0 -33.0 34.8 18.9 59.4 -1.6 42.6 37.2
Madelyn Burdis - 19 28.7 6.9 5.3 1.5 1.8 0.3 3.0 7.2 5.6 -68 -4.9 -30.6 39.0 22.2 84.2 -1.32 45.7 42.6
Reese Gohsman - 18 23.9 6.2 4.4 2.0 1.0 0.1 3.0 7.2 3.5 -82 -6.3 -26.2 32.3 15.6 60.0 -1.85 38.5 35.0
Christina Malackanic - 4 25.5 5.8 8.0 1.0 0.8 1.5 2.2 6.0 8.8 - - - 33.3 14.3 50.0 - 39.3 35.4
Helena Eley - 1 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -2 -2.0 -57.8 50.0 100.0 0 -0.33 75.0 75.0
Drue Allen - 21 16.7 2.4 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.3 1.0 3.1 1.2 -77 -4.8 -33.3 25.8 18.2 73.3 -4.51 35.1 30.3
Peyton Tennant - 15 13.0 2.4 3.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 2.0 2.9 -47 -3.4 -28.1 40.0 40.0 62.5 -1.27 48.6 43.3
Alex Mitchell - 21 10.6 2.1 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.0 2.6 1.6 -47 -2.9 -45.7 37.0 0.0 38.5 -2.25 37.7 37.0
A'Maryi Stevenson - 8 3.0 2.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9 1.6 0.2 -7 -0.9 -24.0 38.5 25.0 62.5 -0.56 51.5 46.2
Teresa Repichowski - 15 12.7 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.7 1.7 0.9 -42 -4.7 -126.3 34.6 23.8 60.0 -0.3 46.1 44.2
Alexis Woodbeck - 21 18.7 1.6 2.8 1.0 0.9 0.1 1.3 2.9 2.2 -51 -3.2 -26.2 20.0 7.7 38.1 -3.57 24.6 21.7
Hayven Neddo - 5 2.8 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.2 -14 -2.8 -48.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 -0.56 69.4 75.0
Ava VanderVeen - 5 3.8 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 -4 -0.8 -13.7 50.0 0 0.0 -0.56 41.0 50.0
Ella Aagesen - 7 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 -0.3 -7 -1.0 -26.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.6 0.0 0.0
Ana VanderVeen - 1 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -0.8 -13.7 0 0 0 -0.56 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG