Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 969 (#271) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 963 (#304) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 978 (#409) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.3 (#400) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.006 (#671) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.098 (#623) | AdjNet -19.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.095 (#625) | AdjNet -19.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.170 (#651) | AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 87.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.419 (#439) | AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 75.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.411 (#391) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.406 (#396) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 938 (#289) | RD 265 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Schipper | - | 1 | 30.6 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 70.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Nathan Richardson | - | 1 | 23.8 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 56.8 | 54.5 |
| Levi Stambaugh | - | 1 | 13.4 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Lee Hardy | - | 1 | 26.8 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 69.8 | 71.4 |
| Mike Okello | - | 1 | 19.7 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Sam Howard | - | 1 | 17.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Sean Shenker | - | 1 | 24.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 11.1 | 14.3 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Alex Genuise | - | 1 | 14.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Aden Hathaway | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Damani Hicks | - | 1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Trey Kolakovich | - | 1 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Porter Kretschman | - | 1 | 15.9 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jamahr Motley | - | 1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kayden Neiderquill | - | 1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Logan Walton | - | 1 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG