Old Dominion
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2020 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1019 (#212) | - |
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 899 (#451) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1030 (#227) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 952 (#347) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 933 (#578) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.6 (#134) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.2 (#312) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#42) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.301 (#443) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#2) | NetEff +84.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.996 (#43) | AdjNet +48.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.516 (#402) | AdjNet +0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.997 (#38) | AdjNet +49.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.534 (#399) | AdjNet +1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.954 (#35) | AdjO 84.4 | AdjD 51.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.505 (#405) | AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.533 (#286) | AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 60.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.558 (#306) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.541 (#316) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 924 (#340) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-08 | @ | Bellarmine | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2019-11-09 | @ | Ashland | L | 83 - 103 |
| 2019-11-13 | @ | Charleston (WV) | L | 66 - 78 |
| 2019-11-19 | @ | Urbana | W | 88 - 82 |
| 2019-11-21 | vs | Glenville St. | W | 81 - 80 |
| 2019-11-26 | vs | Northwood | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2019-11-27 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 76 - 74 |
| 2019-12-05 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 63 - 83 |
| 2019-12-07 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | W | 86 - 60 |
| 2019-12-14 | vs | Malone | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2019-12-16 | vs | Walsh | L | 72 - 88 |
| 2019-12-20 | @ | Nova Southeastern | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2019-12-21 | vs | Barry | L | 66 - 82 |
| 2020-01-02 | @ | Cedarville | L | 55 - 77 |
| 2020-01-04 | @ | Alderson Broaddus | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2020-01-08 | vs | Salem (WV) | W | 99 - 68 |
| 2020-01-11 | vs | Hillsdale | W | 59 - 52 |
| 2020-01-16 | @ | Lake Erie | W | 86 - 67 |
| 2020-01-18 | vs | Cedarville | L | 73 - 86 |
| 2020-01-25 | @ | Tiffin | W | 82 - 57 |
| 2020-01-30 | @ | Ohio Valley | W | 92 - 58 |
| 2020-02-01 | vs | Tiffin | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2020-02-06 | vs | Lake Erie | W | 63 - 54 |
| 2020-02-08 | vs | Ursuline | W | 71 - 58 |
| 2020-02-13 | @ | Findlay | L | 63 - 74 |
| 2020-02-20 | @ | Ursuline | W | 88 - 73 |
| 2020-02-22 | vs | Alderson Broaddus | W | 66 - 56 |
| 2020-02-29 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | W | 83 - 65 |
| 2020-03-03 | @ | Findlay | L | 75 - 85 |
2020 Roster
No roster data available for this season.