Old Dominion
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1019 (#212) | - |
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 899 (#451) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1030 (#227) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 952 (#347) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 933 (#578) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.6 (#134) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.2 (#312) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#42) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.301 (#443) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#2) | NetEff +84.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.996 (#43) | AdjNet +48.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.516 (#402) | AdjNet +0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.997 (#38) | AdjNet +49.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.534 (#399) | AdjNet +1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.954 (#35) | AdjO 84.4 | AdjD 51.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.505 (#405) | AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.533 (#286) | AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 60.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.558 (#306) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.541 (#316) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 924 (#340) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-09 | vs | Quincy | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-10 | vs | Ashland | - | Preview |
| 2018-11-14 | @ | Glenville St. | L | 88 - 116 |
| 2018-11-20 | @ | Northwood | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2018-11-21 | @ | Saginaw Valley | W | 72 - 70 |
| 2018-11-29 | @ | Walsh | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-01 | @ | Malone | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-06 | vs | Ursuline | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-08 | vs | Lake Erie | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-13 | @ | Davis & Elkins | W | 66 - 62 |
| 2018-12-15 | vs | Alderson Broaddus | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-29 | @ | Miami (OH) | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2019-01-05 | vs | Ohio Valley | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-10 | @ | Findlay | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-12 | @ | Hillsdale | W | 76 - 65 |
| 2019-01-17 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-19 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-24 | @ | Cedarville | L | 69 - 81 |
| 2019-01-26 | @ | Tiffin | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-31 | vs | Malone | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-02 | vs | Walsh | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-07 | @ | Lake Erie | L | 72 - 77 |
| 2019-02-09 | @ | Ursuline | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-14 | @ | Alderson Broaddus | W | 63 - 55 |
| 2019-02-16 | vs | Davis & Elkins | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-21 | vs | Findlay | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-23 | vs | Hillsdale | - | Preview |
| 2019-03-02 | @ | Ohio Valley | W | 77 - 76 |
| 2019-03-05 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | - | Preview |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.