Old Dominion
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1019 (#212) | - |
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 899 (#451) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1030 (#227) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 952 (#347) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 933 (#578) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.6 (#134) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.2 (#312) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#42) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.301 (#443) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#2) | NetEff +84.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.996 (#43) | AdjNet +48.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.516 (#402) | AdjNet +0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.997 (#38) | AdjNet +49.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.534 (#399) | AdjNet +1.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.954 (#35) | AdjO 84.4 | AdjD 51.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.505 (#405) | AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.533 (#286) | AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 60.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.558 (#306) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.541 (#316) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 924 (#340) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | @ | Alderson Broaddus | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-14 | vs | Cedarville | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-17 | vs | West Liberty | W | 73 - 69 |
| 2015-11-19 | @ | St. Joseph's (IN) | L | 56 - 62 |
| 2015-11-24 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-03 | @ | Saginaw Valley | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-05 | @ | Hillsdale | W | 91 - 62 |
| 2015-12-11 | vs | Ferris St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-13 | vs | Grand Valley St. | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2015-12-19 | vs | UIndy | W | 77 - 72 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ | Michigan Tech | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-03 | @ | Northern Mich. | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2016-01-07 | vs | Lake Superior St. | W | 75 - 51 |
| 2016-01-09 | vs | Northwood | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2016-01-14 | @ | Findlay | W | 81 - 79 |
| 2016-01-16 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | W | 111 - 106 |
| 2016-01-21 | @ | Walsh | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | Malone | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-28 | @ | Ashland | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Lake Erie | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-01 | vs | Tiffin | W | 69 - 51 |
| 2016-02-04 | vs | Findlay | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2016-02-11 | vs | Walsh | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-13 | @ | Malone | W | 75 - 42 |
| 2016-02-18 | vs | Ashland | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2016-02-20 | vs | Lake Erie | W | 84 - 63 |
| 2016-02-25 | @ | Tiffin | L | 72 - 85 |
| 2016-03-01 | @ | Walsh | L | 62 - 68 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.