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Old Dominion

Also known as: Old Dominion Monarchs, Old Dominion
Program History

2017 Team Stats (3 games)

59.3
PPG
59.3
Opp
+0.0
Margin
34.5%
FG%
30.2%
3P%
60.5%
FT%
41.7
RPG
13.0
APG
10.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.4
Adj PPG
59.2
Adj Opp PPG
#127
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1066 (#130) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1057 (#123) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1035 (#122) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +2.2 (#130) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +1.9 (#135) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.646 (#86) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.2 More โ†’ 0.618 (#117) AdjNet +4.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.2 More โ†’ 0.618 (#118) AdjNet +4.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 59.2 More โ†’ 0.550 (#127) AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 59.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 61.1 More โ†’ 0.552 (#121) AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 61.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.570 (#124) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.570 (#128) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1044 (#133) RD 134 | GP 31

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs James Madison Dukes W 62 - 55
2016-11-14 @ Richmond Spiders W 64 - 61
2016-11-23 vs Louisville Cardinals L 62 - 68
2016-11-24 @ LSU Tigers L 60 - 66
2016-11-25 @ St. John's Red Storm W 63 - 55
2016-11-30 vs Dartmouth Big Green W 59 - 47
2016-12-03 @ Towson Tigers W 60 - 58
2016-12-06 @ Rhode Island Rams L 39 - 51
2016-12-10 vs VCU Rams L 64 - 67
2016-12-18 vs Georgia State Panthers W 58 - 46
2016-12-22 vs Howard Bison W 65 - 46
2016-12-29 vs William & Mary Tribe L 54 - 65
2016-12-31 vs Rice Owls W 62 - 56
2017-01-02 vs North Texas Mean Green W 55 - 48
2017-01-05 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 86 - 90
2017-01-07 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 79 - 67
2017-01-12 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 54 - 50
2017-01-14 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 63 - 75
2017-01-21 @ Charlotte 49ers L 72 - 74
2017-01-26 @ Rice Owls W 80 - 72
2017-01-28 @ North Texas Mean Green W 73 - 67
2017-02-02 vs Florida International Panthers W 64 - 57
2017-02-04 vs Florida Atlantic Owls L 61 - 65
2017-02-09 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 51 - 64
2017-02-11 @ UAB Blazers W 83 - 62
2017-02-18 vs Charlotte 49ers W 72 - 48
2017-02-23 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 86 - 65
2017-02-25 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 67 - 53
2017-03-02 @ UTEP Miners W 62 - 61
2017-03-04 @ UTSA Roadrunners L 55 - 73
2017-03-09 vs Marshall Thundering Herd L 63 - 64

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ahmad Caver Ahmad Caver G 11 34.3 12.4 3.5 5.2 1.7 0.1 2.1 2.4 18.5 101 28 3.6 4.3 23.1 30.8 100.0 1.99 237.4 30.8
Zoran Talley Zoran Talley F 8 25.6 10.6 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.2 3.1 11.9 78 23 3.4 6.4 36.0 0.0 100.0 1.24 167.1 36.0
B. Stith B. Stith F 11 26.4 10.5 8.7 1.5 0.8 1.5 1.2 1.5 20.5 57 24 2.4 3.9 31.2 0 70.0 0.48 281.9 31.2
B.J. Stith B.J. Stith G 11 21.2 9.0 3.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.2 2.3 10.5 5 28 0.2 0.3 36.0 33.3 0 -2.5 198.0 40.0
Jordan Baker Jordan Baker G 10 34.3 7.4 3.3 2.2 1.5 0.1 1.9 1.5 11.1 39 27 1.4 2.0 33.3 30.8 66.7 -0.41 226.7 46.7
Trey Porter Trey Porter F 3 10.3 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.7 7.7 29 28 1.0 3.0 54.5 0 0 0.42 100.0 54.5
Randy Haynes Randy Haynes G 8 14.1 4.8 2.4 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.0 7.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Denzell Taylor Denzell Taylor F 11 31.3 4.6 8.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 1.6 0.5 13.1 66 28 2.4 3.4 50.0 0 16.7 1.17 295.1 50.0
Travis Fields Travis Fields G 11 6.3 1.2 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.8 -17 24 -0.7 -5.9 0.0 0 0 -1.67 325.0 0.0
Aaron Carver Aaron Carver F 9 8.0 1.1 1.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.7 2.6 10 24 0.4 2.2 16.7 0.0 50.0 -3.44 72.7 16.7
Alassane Kah Alassane Kah - 2 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Stephen Vassor Stephen Vassor F 4 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 -6 15 -0.4 -4.0 50.0 0 0 -1.85 50.0 50.0
Keith Pinckney Keith Pinckney G 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG