🐻⬇️🏀

Okla. Baptist

Also known as: Okla. Baptist
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1044 (#116) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1242 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1162 (#29) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +17.6 (#28) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +22.5 (#46) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.735 (#193) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +36.6 More → 0.984 (#111) NetEff +36.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.2 More → 0.891 (#147) AdjNet +18.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.4 More → 0.870 (#177) AdjNet +16.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.8 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.761 (#164) AdjO 83.8 | AdjD 71.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.0 | AdjD 64.9 More → 0.782 (#25) AdjO 79.0 | AdjD 64.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.867 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.857 (#26) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 158 | GP 5 More → 1312 (#10) RD 158 | GP 5

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-22 vs Southern Nazarene W 84 - 61
2026-01-26 vs Southwestern Okla. L 0 - 0
2026-01-30 vs Southern Ark. W 76 - 55
2026-01-31 vs Ark.-Monticello W 70 - 60
2026-02-05 @ Harding W 78 - 73
2026-02-07 @ Arkansas Tech W 66 - 64

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Terry Coner Jr. - 5 34.6 20.6 3.4 3.4 2.2 0.2 1.0 13.0 15.8 87 4.3 33.4 44.6 40.6 66.7 3.81 59.8 54.6
Joshua Udoumoh - 5 32.7 16.0 5.2 1.6 1.6 0.0 1.0 12.8 10.6 -19 -0.9 -8.6 46.9 26.7 80.0 1.72 54.9 50.0
Jackson Greene - 5 26.4 10.6 4.2 0.8 1.2 0.6 1.2 8.6 7.6 9 0.4 3.4 48.8 21.4 66.7 2.39 54.9 52.3
Erik Madrid - 5 21.7 10.0 4.6 0.6 0.8 1.6 1.4 5.8 10.4 19 0.9 9.3 79.3 0 40.0 -2.45 74.9 79.3
Austin Coner - 5 27.5 6.0 3.4 4.0 1.0 0.2 1.4 5.8 7.4 31 1.7 13.5 37.9 45.5 50.0 0.94 47.4 46.6
Christian Hodge - 5 25.4 3.8 5.0 0.8 2.6 1.8 1.4 3.4 9.2 - - - 47.1 0.0 37.5 - 46.3 47.1
Eishun Naito - 3 7.1 3.3 1.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.3 2.7 -10 -0.7 -20.4 42.9 100.0 75.0 -0.37 57.1 50.0
Seth Grandberry - 3 17.8 3.0 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 -2.0 59 3.3 32.2 19.0 8.3 0 1.67 21.4 21.4
Riley McGuirk - 4 4.1 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.0 -12 -1.0 -55.1 60.0 66.7 0.0 -0.19 73.5 80.0
Ty Lippoldt - 2 2.1 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2 -0.5 -18.7 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.11 61.5 50.0
Nick Bearden - 5 6.2 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 1.0 2 0.2 11.8 28.6 20.0 0.0 -1.03 33.6 35.7
Jose Waring - 3 14.8 1.0 2.7 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 5.7 19 1.1 12.9 100.0 0 50.0 2.93 79.8 100.0
Amren Hoard - 4 2.3 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 -9 -0.9 -21.4 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.2 26.6 0.0
Walton Cavanagh - 2 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -0.8 -47.4 0 0 0 -0.27 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG