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Ohio

Also known as: Ohio Bobcats, Ohio
Program History

2012 Team Stats (4 games)

61.5
PPG
62.0
Opp
-0.5
Margin
39.2%
FG%
39.3%
3P%
77.6%
FT%
28.8
RPG
11.8
APG
11.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.0
Adj PPG
60.0
Adj Opp PPG
#47
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1299 (#30) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1281 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1198 (#5) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +9.3 (#51) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +10.8 (#36) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.791 (#42) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.8 More โ†’ 0.814 (#66) AdjNet +12.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.8 More โ†’ 0.815 (#68) AdjNet +12.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 60.0 More โ†’ 0.694 (#47) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 60.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 59.6 More โ†’ 0.695 (#23) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 59.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.789 (#33) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.789 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1270 (#24) RD 96 | GP 34

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-13 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 74 - 65
2011-11-15 vs Lamar Cardinals W 85 - 78
2011-11-20 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 69 - 54
2011-11-25 @ Louisville Cardinals L 54 - 59
2011-11-30 @ Marshall Thundering Herd W 70 - 68
2011-12-03 vs Morgan State Bears W 61 - 53
2011-12-07 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 84 - 82
2011-12-10 @ Portland Pilots W 72 - 54
2011-12-14 vs Marietta Pioneers W 88 - 54
2011-12-17 @ Wright State Raiders W 82 - 54
2011-12-20 @ Northern Iowa Panthers W 76 - 59
2011-12-23 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 82 - 66
2011-12-30 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 71 - 63
2012-01-02 vs Robert Morris Colonials L 67 - 70
2012-01-07 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 57 - 67
2012-01-11 vs Buffalo Bulls W 60 - 52
2012-01-14 @ Akron Zips L 63 - 68
2012-01-18 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 87 - 65
2012-01-25 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 56 - 51
2012-01-28 vs Ball State Cardinals W 59 - 55
2012-02-01 @ Northern Illinois Huskies W 67 - 58
2012-02-04 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 68 - 42
2012-02-08 @ Toledo Rockets L 73 - 77
2012-02-15 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 72 - 59
2012-02-18 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 81 - 62
2012-02-22 @ Buffalo Bulls W 88 - 77
2012-02-26 vs Akron Zips W 85 - 61
2012-02-29 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 61 - 68
2012-03-03 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks W 63 - 54
2012-03-08 vs Toledo Rockets W 65 - 57
2012-03-09 @ Buffalo Bulls W 77 - 74
2012-03-10 @ Akron Zips W 64 - 63
2012-03-16 @ Michigan Wolverines W 65 - 60
2012-03-18 @ South Florida Bulls W 62 - 56
2012-03-23 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 65 - 73

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D.J. Cooper D.J. Cooper G 35 32.3 14.8 3.9 5.9 2.3 0.1 2.9 4.1 19.9 166 21 7.9 10.5 31.0 27.4 80.9 3.15 158.9 38.0
Walter Offutt Walter Offutt G 35 29.2 12.3 3.6 1.7 1.5 0.1 1.6 2.8 14.8 156 21 7.4 10.9 50.5 42.9 54.3 3.84 188.4 59.6
Nick Kellogg Nick Kellogg G 35 27.8 9.4 1.9 1.1 1.1 0.1 0.9 1.6 11.1 104 21 5.0 8.1 46.4 47.1 91.7 -0.53 268.4 67.9
Reggie Keely Reggie Keely F 35 20.9 8.8 4.8 0.5 0.6 0.4 1.9 1.8 11.5 98 21 4.7 10.0 45.2 0 71.9 1.15 203.1 45.2
Ivo Baltic Ivo Baltic F 35 27.9 8.7 5.2 1.5 0.9 0.3 1.9 2.5 12.2 92 21 4.4 6.8 37.1 0.0 59.1 -1.54 153.5 37.1
Stevie Taylor Stevie Taylor G 35 11.2 4.4 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.9 1.1 5.4 -17 21 -0.8 -3.2 37.8 25.0 66.7 -4.29 193.0 44.6
T.J. Hall T.J. Hall F 35 12.0 3.8 2.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.7 1.1 5.1 58 21 2.8 10.7 30.0 20.8 75.0 2.84 159.2 36.2
Jon Smith Jon Smith F 35 19.8 3.7 4.5 0.5 0.6 1.3 1.1 0.6 9.0 82 21 3.9 8.2 45.0 0 81.8 -0.53 261.7 45.0
Ricardo Johnson Ricardo Johnson G 34 13.4 3.2 2.4 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.5 6.1 45 21 2.1 7.8 31.2 0.0 72.7 -0.65 261.5 31.2
Kenny Belton Kenny Belton F-C 2 1.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.75 0 0
TyQuane Goard TyQuane Goard F 27 7.5 1.8 1.6 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 3.5 -12 17 -0.7 -4.6 57.1 0.0 75.0 -2.72 228.1 57.1
Nick Goff Nick Goff G 7 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.6 0 6 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 0 -0.17 125.0 125.0
Ethan Jacobs Ethan Jacobs C 10 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 -5 8 -0.6 -16.9 0 0 0 -1.89 0 0
David McKinley David McKinley G 7 2.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 -3 5 -0.6 -12.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.98 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG