Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.9% | 22.1% | -9.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.4% | 17.6% | -8.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +4 (77-73). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Cooper * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Walter Offutt * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ivo Baltic * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Nick Kellogg * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Jon Smith * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Reggie Keely | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Ricardo Johnson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Stevie Taylor | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| TyQuane Goard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ethan Jacobs | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T.J. Hall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian Pearson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 37 | - |
| Julius Brown * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Matt Smith * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Dominique Buckley * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Richard Wonnell * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Curtis Dennis | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Reese Holliday | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A.J. Mathew | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Delino Dear | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
* = starter