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Ohio

Also known as: Ohio Bobcats, Ohio
Program History

Model Outputs

1990-1991
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1054 (#121) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1059 (#113) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More โ†’ 1026 (#117) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ -0.8 (#154) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +0.5 (#135) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.437 (#174) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.7 More โ†’ 0.451 (#161) AdjNet -1.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.8 More โ†’ 0.448 (#161) AdjNet -1.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 65.5 More โ†’ 0.490 (#150) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 65.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 65.2 More โ†’ 0.506 (#140) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 65.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.514 (#144) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.517 (#146) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 27 More โ†’ 1060 (#114) RD 132 | GP 27

1991 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1990-11-26 vs Evansville W 75 - 68
1990-12-01 @ Rider L 64 - 82
1990-12-08 @ Auburn L 65 - 75
1990-12-10 @ Mercer W 74 - 69
1990-12-13 @ Marshall L 68 - 70
1990-12-17 vs Youngstown State W 85 - 70
1990-12-22 @ Colorado State W 62 - 51
1990-12-27 N North Texas W 77 - 74
1990-12-28 N Indiana L 64 - 102
1991-01-02 vs Wright State W 75 - 56
1991-01-05 @ Central Michigan L 42 - 70
1991-01-09 vs Bowling Green L 53 - 67
1991-01-12 @ Eastern Michigan L 68 - 78
1991-01-16 vs Toledo W 74 - 55
1991-01-19 @ Kent State W 60 - 59
1991-01-23 vs Ball State L 50 - 78
1991-01-26 @ Miami (OH) L 57 - 70
1991-01-30 vs Western Michigan W 72 - 58
1991-02-02 vs Central Michigan W 63 - 53
1991-02-06 @ Bowling Green L 55 - 60
1991-02-09 vs Eastern Michigan W 60 - 58
1991-02-13 @ Toledo W 68 - 55
1991-02-16 vs Kent State W 52 - 49
1991-02-20 @ Ball State W 63 - 60
1991-02-23 vs Miami (OH) W 83 - 71
1991-02-27 @ Western Michigan L 61 - 63
1991-03-08 N Bowling Green L 58 - 66

1991 Roster

No roster data available for this season.