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Oglethorpe

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Oglethorpe
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 997 (#248) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1109 (#124) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1031 (#244) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +11.5 (#83) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +1.1 (#354) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.542 (#433) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.0 More → 0.754 (#252) NetEff +8.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.9 More → 0.389 (#419) AdjNet -3.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.7 More → 0.366 (#425) AdjNet -4.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 67.5 More → 0.426 (#419) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 67.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 64.2 More → 0.526 (#342) AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 64.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.584 (#303) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.580 (#317) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 21 More → 1068 (#230) RD 102 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Georgia St. L 59 - 108
2025-11-08 @ Piedmont W 78 - 65
2025-11-12 @ LaGrange W 56 - 51
2025-11-15 vs Huntingdon W 85 - 48
2025-11-18 @ Agnes Scott W 65 - 39
2025-11-25 vs LaGrange L 69 - 72
2025-12-03 vs Berry W 48 - 44
2025-12-15 vs Pacific (OR) W 60 - 49
2025-12-17 vs Hope L 57 - 68
2025-12-29 vs Berea W 73 - 67
2025-12-30 vs Covenant W 79 - 62
2026-01-11 @ Southwestern (TX) L 67 - 72
2026-01-16 vs Sewanee W 78 - 57
2026-01-18 vs Centre W 90 - 66
2026-01-23 @ Berry L 49 - 71
2026-01-30 vs Rhodes W 84 - 73
2026-02-01 vs Millsaps L 79 - 94
2026-02-06 @ Sewanee W 60 - 57
2026-02-08 @ Centre L 0 - 0

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Keimarya Rivera - 19 30.2 19.0 8.5 2.0 1.1 1.0 2.4 12.5 16.7 73 3.5 14.7 56.5 12.5 79.3 1.24 62.7 56.8
Marlie Battle - 19 28.8 10.7 5.4 2.9 3.4 0.3 3.1 10.1 9.6 40 2.1 8.3 42.9 22.6 46.5 1.94 45.9 44.8
Sheraton Foster - 19 24.8 9.2 2.4 1.6 1.6 0.1 2.3 7.8 4.8 77 3.7 21.4 30.4 30.0 71.7 -0.27 46.2 36.5
Anna Conza - 19 27.0 9.0 2.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.1 7.7 3.7 34 1.6 7.2 34.0 37.9 77.6 -1.1 50.7 45.2
Malia Melton - 19 23.6 6.1 4.9 1.8 0.7 0.2 2.2 5.1 6.4 77 3.7 18.4 38.1 23.3 66.0 2.11 48.2 41.8
Jaden Winfrey - 19 14.9 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.8 3.5 4.2 5 0.3 2.4 34.8 37.8 88.9 0.76 55.9 47.7
Briley Elder - 19 19.0 4.4 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.1 5.4 0.9 51 2.4 15.8 25.5 25.6 57.9 -0.67 37.6 35.3
Aliyah Shaffer - 18 9.5 1.6 2.2 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.2 2.6 0.7 -34 -1.9 -30.6 21.7 22.2 44.4 -2.02 28.0 26.1
Callie Cavender - 6 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.8 0.2 - - - 36.4 0.0 33.3 - 36.5 36.4
Genny Rogers - 11 4.1 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.6 7 0.9 31.1 41.7 0 66.7 -0.42 50.1 41.7
Channing Segars - 4 2.9 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.0 -0.5 - - - 12.5 25.0 50.0 - 25.6 18.8
Lauren Phillip - 19 6.2 0.7 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.3 -31 -1.6 -30.0 20.8 0 33.3 -1.91 23.9 20.8
Ashton Jones - 10 3.9 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.2 3 0.3 11.8 33.3 50.0 50.0 -1.44 43.6 41.7
Gaby LoPresti - 12 3.9 0.6 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.8 -29 -3.2 -161.1 33.3 0.0 16.7 0.27 30.1 33.3
Sarah Kate Evans - 4 3.5 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.8 -11 -0.6 -2.6 50.0 0.0 0 1.97 50.0 50.0
Abby Scott - 8 3.6 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 20 2.9 1411.8 25.0 0 50.0 0.15 30.7 25.0
Kamaria McDermott - 7 2.4 0.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.6 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 52.1 50.0
Brooke Herdman - 17 4.7 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 -7 -0.4 -18.0 16.7 0.0 25.0 -2.49 19.3 16.7
Sarah Kate - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Lily Burford - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG