🐻⬇️🏀

Oglethorpe

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Oglethorpe
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 816 (#607) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 841 (#557) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 883 (#693) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -15.0 (#314) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -15.5 (#621) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.249 (#632) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -16.9 More → 0.125 (#606) AdjNet -16.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.1 More → 0.120 (#605) AdjNet -17.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 83.1 More → 0.242 (#599) AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 83.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 84.3 More → 0.270 (#694) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 84.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.183 (#680) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.195 (#681) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 21 More → 833 (#525) RD 106 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Brevard L 72 - 93
2025-11-14 @ JWU Charlotte W 96 - 91
2025-11-16 @ William Peace L 67 - 71
2025-11-21 vs LeTourneau L 69 - 84
2025-11-22 @ Covenant W 108 - 91
2025-11-25 vs Greensboro L 96 - 104
2025-12-03 vs Berry W 83 - 78
2025-12-05 vs Baptist U. (FL) W 96 - 82
2025-12-07 @ Mercer L 50 - 100
2025-12-17 vs Caltech L 70 - 82
2025-12-29 vs LaGrange L 82 - 87
2025-12-30 vs Brevard L 76 - 79
2026-01-03 vs Emory L 64 - 88
2026-01-09 @ Trinity (TX) L 74 - 102
2026-01-11 @ Southwestern (TX) L 90 - 91
2026-01-16 vs Sewanee L 85 - 93
2026-01-18 vs Centre W 94 - 91
2026-01-23 @ Berry L 75 - 92
2026-01-30 vs Rhodes L 66 - 84
2026-02-01 vs Millsaps W 74 - 66
2026-02-06 @ Sewanee L 68 - 95
2026-02-08 @ Centre L 0 - 0

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tyler Baldwin - 1 24.0 20.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 14.0 45 2.4 21.1 60.0 66.7 50.0 -0.22 85.0 90.0
Malachi Dooley - 20 34.3 17.9 5.2 2.9 1.1 0.2 2.7 13.6 11.0 -246 -12.3 -62.4 47.6 31.6 61.2 -4.4 55.1 52.2
Twain Wilson - 1 35.0 15.0 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 15.0 8 0.4 2.2 46.2 30.0 0 -0.21 57.7 57.7
Jadon Carnes - 1 35.0 12.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 5.0 -67 -3.0 -14.1 60.0 0.0 0 2.91 60.0 60.0
Logan Turner - 8 19.3 11.6 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.2 1.6 8.9 4.8 - - - 45.1 36.1 80.0 - 58.3 54.2
Jackson Kemp - 20 32.0 11.3 7.2 1.2 0.7 0.4 1.6 9.3 9.9 -243 -11.6 -62.4 42.5 39.5 68.4 0.67 53.8 50.5
Carter Watkins - 20 29.2 11.3 4.7 1.7 0.7 0.2 1.4 10.7 6.5 -182 -9.6 -53.8 43.7 30.0 57.8 -1.04 48.8 47.2
Andrew LaVigne - 20 29.4 10.6 3.0 1.3 1.4 0.1 1.2 7.5 7.7 -136 -7.2 -38.7 50.3 29.2 73.8 -0.81 59.3 55.0
Mason Kemp - 20 27.7 8.7 4.3 1.3 1.5 0.2 1.1 7.5 7.3 -187 -9.3 -63.7 38.7 15.3 75.0 1.93 48.6 41.7
Willard Thompson - 6 18.8 8.7 1.8 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.3 6.5 4.5 -29 -5.8 -87.1 41.0 39.4 100.0 0.21 61.8 57.7
Kam Stone - 18 14.2 8.4 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.1 1.4 5.1 4.8 -67 -3.7 -27.7 45.1 38.8 71.4 -1.2 62.0 55.5
Malachi McLean - 1 11.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 -2.0 -8 -0.6 -11.0 40.0 33.3 0 -0.14 50.0 50.0
Noah Osuji - 1 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 8 0.5 11.5 100.0 0 100.0 -2.98 104.2 100.0
Anderson Shepherd - 16 6.9 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 2.4 1.8 -33 -2.1 -50.9 39.5 22.7 42.9 0.88 46.3 46.1
Khalil Black - 1 11.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -7 -0.4 -6.5 50.0 0.0 0 -0.23 50.0 50.0
James McGriff - 16 8.1 1.7 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.9 1.8 25 1.7 35.7 41.9 20.0 0.0 1.76 42.3 43.5
Cyrus LaPlant - 18 7.3 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.1 1.4 -49 -2.9 -58.0 20.0 17.6 71.4 -3.65 34.7 27.5
Cooper Colvin - 10 2.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.1 -9 -1.0 -25.5 22.2 0.0 50.0 -0.08 25.3 22.2
Ryder Block - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Brennan Gregoire - 11 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 -0.2 7 0.7 16.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.76 0.0 0.0
Brevin Klym - 9 2.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 -0.3 5 0.6 18.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.63 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG