Oglethorpe
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 804 (#601) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 801 (#584) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 883 (#693) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.7 (#402) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -15.5 (#621) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.249 (#632) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.125 (#606) | AdjNet -16.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.120 (#605) | AdjNet -17.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.242 (#599) | AdjO 70.6 | AdjD 83.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.270 (#694) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 84.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.183 (#680) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.195 (#681) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 833 (#526) | RD 105 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Brevard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | JWU Charlotte | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | William Peace | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | LeTourneau | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Covenant | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Greensboro | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Berry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Baptist U. (FL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Mercer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Caltech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | LaGrange | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Brevard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Emory | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | @ | Trinity (TX) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-11 | @ | Southwestern (TX) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Sewanee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-18 | vs | Centre | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Berry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Rhodes | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-01 | vs | Millsaps | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Sewanee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Centre | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Baldwin | - | 1 | 24.0 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 45 | 2.4 | 21.1 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 1.22 | 85.0 | 90.0 |
| Malachi Dooley | - | 19 | 34.9 | 18.8 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 14.1 | 11.7 | -246 | -12.3 | -62.4 | 48.3 | 32.5 | 61.2 | -2.16 | 55.7 | 53.0 |
| Twain Wilson | - | 1 | 35.0 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 8 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 46.2 | 30.0 | 0 | 0.21 | 57.7 | 57.7 |
| Jadon Carnes | - | 1 | 35.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | -67 | -3.0 | -14.1 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.26 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Carter Watkins | - | 19 | 29.8 | 11.8 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 10.9 | 6.9 | -182 | -9.6 | -53.8 | 44.2 | 31.2 | 57.8 | -4.52 | 49.4 | 47.8 |
| Logan Turner | - | 7 | 19.2 | 11.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 8.9 | 4.9 | - | - | - | 45.2 | 35.7 | 83.3 | 0.81 | 57.9 | 53.2 |
| Jackson Kemp | - | 19 | 32.2 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 9.4 | 9.7 | -243 | -11.6 | -62.4 | 41.9 | 38.4 | 69.1 | 3.36 | 53.1 | 49.7 |
| Andrew LaVigne | - | 19 | 29.8 | 11.0 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 7.8 | 8.2 | -136 | -7.2 | -38.7 | 51.4 | 29.8 | 72.9 | 0.78 | 60.1 | 56.1 |
| Kam Stone | - | 17 | 14.3 | 8.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 5.5 | -67 | -3.7 | -27.7 | 46.5 | 40.4 | 71.4 | -0.35 | 63.8 | 57.6 |
| Mason Kemp | - | 19 | 27.7 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 7.3 | -187 | -9.3 | -63.7 | 37.9 | 12.7 | 75.0 | 1.5 | 47.6 | 40.3 |
| Willard Thompson | - | 6 | 18.8 | 8.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 6.5 | 4.5 | -29 | -5.8 | -87.1 | 41.0 | 39.4 | 100.0 | -3.47 | 61.8 | 57.7 |
| Malachi McLean | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | -8 | -0.6 | -11.0 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.77 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Noah Osuji | - | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.21 | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Anderson Shepherd | - | 15 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 2.0 | -33 | -2.1 | -50.9 | 44.8 | 27.8 | 42.9 | -2.32 | 53.0 | 53.4 |
| Khalil Black | - | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -7 | -0.4 | -6.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.59 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| James McGriff | - | 15 | 7.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 25 | 1.7 | 35.7 | 43.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.89 | 41.9 | 43.5 |
| Cyrus LaPlant | - | 17 | 7.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | -49 | -2.9 | -58.0 | 21.1 | 18.8 | 71.4 | -2.08 | 36.2 | 28.9 |
| Cooper Colvin | - | 9 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | -9 | -1.0 | -25.5 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.42 | 31.7 | 28.6 |
| Brennan Gregoire | - | 10 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 7 | 0.7 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brevin Klym | - | 8 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -0.1 | 5 | 0.6 | 18.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ryder Block | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG