Oglethorpe Stormy Petrels
Also known as: Oglethorpe Stormy Petrels
Program History
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 845 (#1005) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 886 (#970) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 999 (#193) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -31.7 (#1064) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.3 (#465) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.475 (#329) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 65.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.157 (#555) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.194 (#552) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 942 (#272) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-12 | @ | Mercer Bears | L | 25 - 70 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Jovaag
|
- | 1 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
J. Kinney
|
- | 1 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 1.01 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
C. Molinet
|
- | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 34.7 | 25.0 |
A. Davis
|
- | 1 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 78 | 2.8 | 7.1 | 14.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.69 | 20.2 | 21.4 |
S. Purdy
|
- | 1 | 29.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG